Sport Picks
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya vs Karbon Cherkasy - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Ukraine
Druha Liga Slavutych-Arena, Zaporizhia 
AI Match Summary
The Druha Liga game between MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya and Karbon Cherkasy finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Karbon Cherkasy.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
22%
20%
58%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Karbon Cherkasy
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Karbon Cherkasy carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Regular Druha Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya Clean Sheet 15%
Karbon Cherkasy Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya | Karbon Cherkasy |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 11 |
| Wins | 4 | 5 |
| Draws | 7 | 3 |
| Losses | 18 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 0.72 | 1.36 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 4, 2026 Druha Liga
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya vs Karbon Cherkasy
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 35 / 100
Karbon Cherkasy 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya Karbon Cherkasy
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Karbon Cherkasy Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Karbon Cherkasy let in goals in 64% of their last 11 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya scored in 48% of their last 29 games.
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya VS Karbon Cherkasy
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
(Home) 04 Oct
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
1 : 2 Karbon Cherkasy
27 Sept
Atlet Kiev
2 : 3 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
20 Sept
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
1 : 2 Lozova
29 Aug
Rebel Kyiv
2 : 1 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
23 Aug
Olympia Savyntsi
2 : 1 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
1 : 2 Karbon Cherkasy
20 Sept
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
1 : 2 Lozova
15 Aug
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
2 : 2 Penuel Kryvyi Rih
02 Jun
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
0 : 4 Bukovyna
29 May
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
0 : 0 FC Chernihiv
Page 1 of 3
Karbon Cherkasy
(Away) 04 Oct
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
1 : 2 Karbon Cherkasy
25 Sept
Karbon Cherkasy
1 : 0 SC Poltava 2
18 Sept
Karbon Cherkasy
2 : 2 Oleksandriya 2
13 Sept
Atlet Kiev
2 : 2 Karbon Cherkasy
09 Sept
Karbon Cherkasy
0 : 3 Epitsentr
Page 1 of 3
04 Oct
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
1 : 2 Karbon Cherkasy
13 Sept
Atlet Kiev
2 : 2 Karbon Cherkasy
29 Aug
Trostyanets
0 : 0 Karbon Cherkasy
23 Aug
Pokuttia Kolomyia
0 : 1 Karbon Cherkasy
09 Aug
Rebel Kyiv
3 : 5 Karbon Cherkasy
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bratslav Vinnytsia | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 25:8 | 23 |
| 2 | Dnister Zalishchyky | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:13 | 17 |
| 3 | Nyva Vinnytsya | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:8 | 15 |
| 4 | FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16:19 | 13 |
| 5 | FC Vilkhivtsi | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:13 | 12 |
| 6 | Nyva Ternopil 2 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8:15 | 10 |
| 7 | Skala 1911 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:13 | 8 |
| 8 | Dinaz Vyshgorod | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12:19 | 7 |
| 9 | Rukh Lviv | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 13:16 | 3 |
Promotion - Persha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karbon Cherkasy | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13:9 | 15 |
| 2 | Lozova | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9:9 | 13 |
| 3 | Atlet Kiev | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 16:12 | 12 |
| 4 | SC Poltava 2 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 5:7 | 11 |
| 5 | Rebel Kyiv | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15:15 | 11 |
| 6 | Oleksandriya 2 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:7 | 10 |
| 7 | Trostyanets | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8:5 | 10 |
| 8 | MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:10 | 9 |
| 9 | Penuel Kryvyi Rih | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:15 | 5 |
Promotion - Persha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
