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MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya vs Lozova - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ukraine Ukraine

Druha Liga Slavutych-Arena, Zaporizhia
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Sitalo A.
62' Event
Volovyk O.
90' Event
Grebenyuk K.

AI Match Summary

The Druha Liga game between MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya and Lozova finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lozova.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
15%
Draws
57%
Lozova
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lozova

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya come out ahead of Lozova on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Druha Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya Clean Sheet 17%
Lozova Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya Lozova
Matches Played 29 10
Wins 5 4
Draws 7 1
Losses 17 5
Goals Scored 0.76 1
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Druha Liga
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya vs Lozova
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya Compare

Top Goalscorer Sitalo A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Lozova Compare

Top Goalscorer Volovyk O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Grebenyuk K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 31 / 100
Lozova 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya Lozova

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lozova Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lozova has conceded goals in 80% of their last 10 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya scored in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya VS Lozova
1 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya

(Home)
09 Oct
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
1 : 0
SC Poltava 2
04 Oct
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
1 : 2
Karbon Cherkasy
27 Sept
Atlet Kiev
2 : 3
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
20 Sept
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
1 : 2
Lozova
29 Aug
Rebel Kyiv
2 : 1
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
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Lozova

(Away)
03 Oct
Rebel Kyiv
1 : 2
Lozova
26 Sept
Lozova
1 : 0
Penuel Kryvyi Rih
20 Sept
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
1 : 2
Lozova
13 Sept
Lozova
1 : 0
SC Poltava 2
04 Sept
Karbon Cherkasy
1 : 0
Lozova
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bratslav Vinnytsia 9 7 2 0 25:8 23
2 Dnister Zalishchyky 9 5 2 2 17:13 17
3 Nyva Vinnytsya 8 4 3 1 14:8 15
4 FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 9 4 1 4 16:19 13
5 FC Vilkhivtsi 9 3 3 3 11:13 12
6 Nyva Ternopil 2 9 3 1 5 8:15 10
7 Skala 1911 8 2 2 4 8:13 8
8 Dinaz Vyshgorod 9 1 4 4 12:19 7
9 Rukh Lviv 8 1 0 7 13:16 3
Promotion - Persha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Karbon Cherkasy 8 4 3 1 13:9 15
2 Lozova 8 4 1 3 9:9 13
3 Atlet Kiev 8 3 3 2 16:12 12
4 SC Poltava 2 9 3 2 4 5:7 11
5 Rebel Kyiv 8 3 2 3 15:15 11
6 Oleksandriya 2 8 2 4 2 8:7 10
7 Trostyanets 7 2 4 1 8:5 10
8 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 8 2 3 3 9:10 9
9 Penuel Kryvyi Rih 8 1 2 5 6:15 5
Promotion - Persha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)