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MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya vs Oleksandriya 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ukraine Ukraine

Druha Liga Slavutych-Arena, Zaporizhia
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
09:45 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya host Oleksandriya 2 in the Druha Liga. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya at 0.76 goals for, 1.97 against; Oleksandriya 2 at 1.19 for, 1.15 against. Head-to-head, MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya have won 0 to Oleksandriya 2's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Aug 9, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.88 xG vs 1.38) point toward Oleksandriya 2. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
20%
Draws
36%
Oleksandriya 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya haven't matched Oleksandriya 2's recent run of results.
  • 44% — that's where the model lands on MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya taking it.
  • Regular Druha Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya Clean Sheet 17%
Oleksandriya 2 Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya Oleksandriya 2
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 5 9
Draws 7 8
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 0.76 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Druha Liga
Oleksandriya 2 vs MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
0:0
Jul 20, 2024 Club Friendly
Oleksandriya 2 vs MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 39 / 100
Oleksandriya 2 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya Oleksandriya 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oleksandriya 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya VS Oleksandriya 2
1 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya

(Home)
09 Oct
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
1 : 0
SC Poltava 2
04 Oct
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
1 : 2
Karbon Cherkasy
27 Sept
Atlet Kiev
2 : 3
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
20 Sept
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
1 : 2
Lozova
29 Aug
Rebel Kyiv
2 : 1
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
Page 1 of 6

Oleksandriya 2

(Away)
03 Oct
SC Poltava 2
1 : 0
Oleksandriya 2
18 Sept
Karbon Cherkasy
2 : 2
Oleksandriya 2
12 Sept
Oleksandriya 2
1 : 1
Rebel Kyiv
04 Sept
Atlet Kiev
2 : 0
Oleksandriya 2
30 Aug
Oleksandriya 2
3 : 0
Penuel Kryvyi Rih
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bratslav Vinnytsia 9 7 2 0 25:8 23
2 Nyva Vinnytsya 8 4 3 1 14:8 15
3 Dnister Zalishchyky 8 4 2 2 16:13 14
4 FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 9 4 1 4 16:19 13
5 FC Vilkhivtsi 9 3 3 3 11:13 12
6 Nyva Ternopil 2 9 3 1 5 8:15 10
7 Skala 1911 8 2 2 4 8:13 8
8 Dinaz Vyshgorod 8 1 4 3 12:18 7
9 Rukh Lviv 8 1 0 7 13:16 3
Promotion - Persha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Karbon Cherkasy 8 4 3 1 13:9 15
2 Lozova 8 4 1 3 9:9 13
3 Atlet Kiev 8 3 3 2 16:12 12
4 SC Poltava 2 9 3 2 4 5:7 11
5 Rebel Kyiv 8 3 2 3 15:15 11
6 Oleksandriya 2 8 2 4 2 8:7 10
7 Trostyanets 7 2 4 1 8:5 10
8 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 8 2 3 3 9:10 9
9 Penuel Kryvyi Rih 8 1 2 5 6:15 5
Promotion - Persha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)