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MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya vs SC Poltava 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ukraine Ukraine

Druha Liga Slavutych-Arena, Zaporizhia
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya Logo

MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya

1 - 0
FT
SC Poltava 2 Logo

SC Poltava 2

Our Tip

Match Events

63' Event
Bilyaev K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Druha Liga game between MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya and SC Poltava 2 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
15%
Draws
28%
SC Poltava 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya Clean Sheet 68%
SC Poltava 2 Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya SC Poltava 2
Matches Played 29 9
Wins 5 3
Draws 7 2
Losses 17 4
Goals Scored 0.76 0.56
Goals Conceded 1.97 0.78
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2026 Druha Liga
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya vs SC Poltava 2
1:0
Aug 2, 2026 Druha Liga
SC Poltava 2 vs MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya Compare

Top Goalscorer Bilyaev K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

SC Poltava 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 68 / 100
SC Poltava 2 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya SC Poltava 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Poltava 2's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya scored in 52% of their last 29 games.

SC Poltava 2 has conceded goals in 56% of their last 9 outings.

H2H data points to 0.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya VS SC Poltava 2
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya

(Home)
09 Oct
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
1 : 0
SC Poltava 2
04 Oct
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
1 : 2
Karbon Cherkasy
27 Sept
Atlet Kiev
2 : 3
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
20 Sept
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
1 : 2
Lozova
29 Aug
Rebel Kyiv
2 : 1
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
Page 1 of 6

SC Poltava 2

(Away)
09 Oct
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
1 : 0
SC Poltava 2
03 Oct
SC Poltava 2
1 : 0
Oleksandriya 2
25 Sept
Karbon Cherkasy
1 : 0
SC Poltava 2
21 Sept
SC Poltava 2
0 : 3
Atlet Kiev
13 Sept
Lozova
1 : 0
SC Poltava 2
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bratslav Vinnytsia 9 7 2 0 25:8 23
2 Dnister Zalishchyky 9 5 2 2 17:13 17
3 Nyva Vinnytsya 8 4 3 1 14:8 15
4 FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 9 4 1 4 16:19 13
5 FC Vilkhivtsi 9 3 3 3 11:13 12
6 Nyva Ternopil 2 9 3 1 5 8:15 10
7 Skala 1911 8 2 2 4 8:13 8
8 Dinaz Vyshgorod 9 1 4 4 12:19 7
9 Rukh Lviv 8 1 0 7 13:16 3
Promotion - Persha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Karbon Cherkasy 8 4 3 1 13:9 15
2 Lozova 8 4 1 3 9:9 13
3 Atlet Kiev 8 3 3 2 16:12 12
4 SC Poltava 2 9 3 2 4 5:7 11
5 Rebel Kyiv 8 3 2 3 15:15 11
6 Oleksandriya 2 8 2 4 2 8:7 10
7 Trostyanets 7 2 4 1 8:5 10
8 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 8 2 3 3 9:10 9
9 Penuel Kryvyi Rih 8 1 2 5 6:15 5
Promotion - Persha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)