Sport Picks

Stadium Background

MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya vs Vorskla Poltava

Ukraine Ukraine

Persha Liga 2025/2026 Slavutych-Arena
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Dmytruk T.
18'
Sub
Misanov M. In: Nekhtiy V.
Out: Misanov M.
48' Event
Irodovskyi D.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya host Vorskla Poltava in the Persha Liga 2025/2026. This one's hard to separate. MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya have averaged 0.5 scored and 2.25 conceded recently, against Vorskla Poltava's 0.5 scored and 1.75 conceded. Past meetings favor MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya slightly — 2-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 22, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.13 - 1.38) back MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya to edge this. MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
28%
Draws
50%
Vorskla Poltava
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Vorskla Poltava

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Both MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya and Vorskla Poltava exhibit evenly balanced form metrics in recent matches.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Vorskla Poltava.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Persha Liga 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya Clean Sheet 17%
Vorskla Poltava Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya Vorskla Poltava
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 5 5
Draws 6 8
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 0.5 0.5
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Persha Liga
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya vs Vorskla Poltava
2:0
Aug 30, 2025 Persha Liga
Vorskla Poltava vs MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya Compare

Top Goalscorer Seytkhalilov S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Vorskla Poltava Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 23 / 100
Vorskla Poltava 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya Vorskla Poltava

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Vorskla Poltava let in goals in 81% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Vorskla Poltava lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya VS Vorskla Poltava
0.5 Goals Scored 0.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bukovyna30263174:2181
2Ch. Odesa30198344:2065
3Livyi Bereg30196550:2163
4Ahrobiznes Volochysk30165936:2853
5Inhulets301210841:3246
6Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)309101133:3337
7Metalist Kharkiv301071331:3537
8Probiy Horodenka301061429:3736
9Fenix Mariupol30991231:3236
10Victoria301061437:3836
11UCSA301061430:4036
12Nyva Ternopil308101224:3434
13FC Chernihiv30871530:3631
14Vorskla Poltava30791423:3630
15FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi30491720:4521
16MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya30471916:6119
17Minaj00000:00