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MFK Karvina vs Dukla Prague - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Czech Republic Czech Republic

ChNL Town Stadium Karvina, Karvina
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

MFK Karvina host Dukla Prague in the ChNL. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. MFK Karvina have averaged 1.77 scored and 1.46 conceded recently, against Dukla Prague's 1.64 scored and 1.46 conceded. Head-to-head, MFK Karvina have won 3 to Dukla Prague's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (2.06 xG vs 1.75) point toward MFK Karvina. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
MFK Karvina
20%
Draws
47%
Dukla Prague
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dukla Prague

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to MFK Karvina lately — more wins on the board than Dukla Prague.
  • Model gives MFK Karvina a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular ChNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
MFK Karvina Clean Sheet 12%
Dukla Prague Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MFK Karvina Dukla Prague
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 15 12
Draws 1 5
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.77 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Chance Liga
Dukla Prague vs MFK Karvina
1:2
Jul 19, 2025 Chance Liga
MFK Karvina vs Dukla Prague
2:0
Mar 12, 2025 Chance Liga
Dukla Prague vs MFK Karvina
0:0
Sep 1, 2024 Chance Liga
MFK Karvina vs Dukla Prague
0:0
May 13, 2023 ChNL
Dukla Prague vs MFK Karvina
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MFK Karvina 40 / 100
Dukla Prague 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MFK Karvina Dukla Prague

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MFK Karvina's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Defensive concern: Dukla Prague conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

MFK Karvina went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

MFK Karvina VS Dukla Prague
2.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

MFK Karvina

(Home)
02 Oct
MFK Karvina
1 : 1
S. Rzeszow
18 Sept
MFK Karvina
3 : 2
Kromeriz
11 Sept
Trinec
3 : 2
MFK Karvina
04 Sept
MFK Karvina
2 : 0
SK Kladno
29 Aug
Pribram
2 : 1
MFK Karvina
Page 1 of 6

Dukla Prague

(Away)
02 Oct
Dukla Prague
0 : 1
Jablonec
18 Sept
Prostejov
2 : 2
Dukla Prague
11 Sept
Dukla Prague
3 : 1
Vlasim
05 Sept
Opava
1 : 2
Dukla Prague
28 Aug
Dukla Prague
3 : 1
Jihlava
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 MFK Karvina 9 6 0 3 19:12 18
2 Usti nad Labem 9 5 3 1 15:8 18
3 Dukla Prague 9 5 2 2 18:13 17
4 Jihlava 9 5 1 3 14:9 16
5 Pribram 9 3 5 1 15:14 14
6 Slavia Prague B 9 3 4 2 19:15 13
7 Taborsko 9 3 4 2 13:12 13
8 Vlasim 9 3 3 3 17:14 12
9 Ostrava B 9 3 2 4 15:12 11
10 SK Kladno 9 2 4 3 13:14 10
11 Opava 9 2 4 3 13:15 10
12 Zizkov 9 3 1 5 8:16 10
13 FK Ceska Lipa 9 2 3 4 10:16 9
14 Prostejov 9 1 5 3 11:12 8
15 Trinec 9 1 4 4 10:17 7
16 Kromeriz 9 1 3 5 8:19 6
Promotion - Chance Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Chance Liga (Relegation)