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Mglebi Zugdidi vs Bolnisi Prediction & H2H Stats

Georgia Georgia

Umaglesi Liga 2008/2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Umaglesi Liga 2008/2009 game between Mglebi Zugdidi and Bolnisi finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bolnisi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Mglebi Zugdidi
20%
Draws
36%
Bolnisi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mglebi Zugdidi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Bolnisi's 1.33 goals per match outpaces what Mglebi Zugdidi have produced (1.2).
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Mglebi Zugdidi Clean Sheet 20%
Bolnisi Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mglebi Zugdidi Bolnisi
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 10 10
Draws 6 10
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.2 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2009 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Mglebi Zugdidi vs Bolnisi
2:0
Nov 21, 2008 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Bolnisi vs Mglebi Zugdidi
2:2
Sep 13, 2008 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Mglebi Zugdidi vs Bolnisi
0:1
May 2, 2008 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Mglebi Zugdidi vs Bolnisi
1:0
Dec 6, 2007 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Bolnisi vs Mglebi Zugdidi
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mglebi Zugdidi 36 / 100
Bolnisi 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mglebi Zugdidi Bolnisi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bolnisi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mglebi Zugdidi found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Bolnisi conceded in 70% of 33 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Mglebi Zugdidi has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Bolnisi
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mglebi Zugdidi

(Home)
23 May
WIT Georgia
4 : 0
Mglebi Zugdidi
17 May
Mglebi Zugdidi
1 : 0
Dinamo Tbilisi
02 May
Mglebi Zugdidi
4 : 1
Meskheti
25 Apr
FC Zestaponi
3 : 1
Mglebi Zugdidi
18 Apr
Mglebi Zugdidi
1 : 2
Metalurgi Rustavi
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Bolnisi

(Away)
20 Sept
Bolnisi
1 : 2
Dusheti
16 Sept
Merani Martvili
2 : 1
Bolnisi
12 Sept
Bolnisi
1 : 1
Kolkheti 1913
06 Sept
FC Gareji Sagarejo
3 : 3
Bolnisi
29 Aug
Bolnisi
2 : 1
Telavi
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 WIT Georgia 30 20 9 1 57:19 69
2 Dinamo Tbilisi 30 19 6 5 70:21 63
3 Metalurgi Rustavi 30 16 9 5 40:20 57
4 FC Zestaponi 30 16 4 10 43:27 52
5 Bolnisi 30 11 11 8 35:29 44
6 Locomotive Tbilisi 30 10 8 12 35:33 38
7 Mglebi Zugdidi 30 10 6 14 36:41 36
8 Meskheti 30 7 8 15 23:42 29
9 Gagra 30 7 7 16 23:48 28
10 Tskhinvali 30 6 7 17 28:46 25
11 Borjomi 30 2 7 21 21:85 13
Promotion - Champions League 2009/2010 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2009/2010 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2009/2010 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2009/2010 (Qualification)