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Miajadas vs Extremadura UD B

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2021/2022
Sun, Mar 6, 2022
2 - 0
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Miajadas play Extremadura UD B in the Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2021/2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Miajadas averaged 0.81 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. Extremadura UD B averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. In past meetings, Miajadas won 2, Extremadura UD B won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 6, 2022 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for Miajadas and 1.00 for Extremadura UD B. This points to a Miajadas double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Miajadas
16%
Draws
36%
Extremadura UD B
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Miajadas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Miajadas picked up more points recently compared to Extremadura UD B.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Miajadas Clean Sheet 23%
Extremadura UD B Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 63%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Miajadas Extremadura UD B
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 8 6
Draws 5 4
Losses 19 20
Goals Scored 0.81 0.6
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.8

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Miajadas vs Extremadura UD B
2:0
Oct 31, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Extremadura UD B vs Miajadas
3:1
Apr 25, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Extremadura UD B vs Miajadas
1:1
Apr 4, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Miajadas vs Extremadura UD B
1:0
Feb 23, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Extremadura UD B vs Miajadas
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Miajadas 48 / 100
Extremadura UD B 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Miajadas Extremadura UD B

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Miajadas or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20%
2.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.2%
3.03
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Miajadas attacking → ← attacking Extremadura UD B

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Miajadas scored in 50% of their last 32 games.

Extremadura UD B let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Miajadas went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Extremadura UD B lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

29 Points in last 5 22
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1CD Diocesano30203761:3063
2Moralo301410639:1952
3AD Llerenense301312544:3251
4Jerez CF30147938:3049
5Arroyo301212640:3048
6CF Trujillo301212640:2748
7CD Azuaga301212641:3148
8CD Calamonte301110935:3343
9UP Plasencia301081224:2938
10SP Villafranca309101127:3037
11Olivenza FC307121131:3533
12Don Alvaro307101336:4431
13Miajadas30851730:4829
14Aceuchal30781524:4229
15CD Badajoz B30691524:3827
16Extremadura UD B30642018:540