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Miajadas vs Moralo

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Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2022/2023
Miajadas Logo

Miajadas

0 - 1
FT
Moralo Logo

Moralo

Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2022/2023 game between Miajadas and Moralo finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Moralo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Miajadas
20%
Draws
73%
Moralo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Moralo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Moralo come out ahead of Miajadas on wins alone.
  • Model gives Moralo a 73% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Miajadas Clean Sheet 16%
Moralo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Miajadas Moralo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 19
Draws 5 7
Losses 18 4
Goals Scored 0.77 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.37 0.6
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Miajadas vs Moralo
0:1
Nov 27, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Moralo vs Miajadas
2:0
Feb 20, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Moralo vs Miajadas
3:0
Oct 17, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Miajadas vs Moralo
2:1
Jan 3, 2021 Club Friendly
Moralo vs Miajadas
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Miajadas 10 / 100
Moralo 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Miajadas Moralo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Moralo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Miajadas's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Moralo conceded in 50% of 30 recent games.

Miajadas went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Moralo
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Miajadas

(Home)
23 Apr
CD Calamonte
4 : 0
Miajadas
16 Apr
Miajadas
0 : 4
Jerez CF
05 Apr
Fuente de Cantos
1 : 0
Miajadas
01 Apr
UP Plasencia
1 : 1
Miajadas
26 Mar
Miajadas
0 : 1
Moralo
Page 1 of 6

Moralo

(Away)
20 Sept
Moralo
2 : 0
CD Zafra
13 Sept
Jaraiz
2 : 3
Moralo
06 Sept
Moralo
2 : 1
Villanovense
07 Jun
CD Badajoz
0 : 0
Moralo
31 May
Moralo
0 : 2
CD Badajoz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AD Llerenense 30 18 10 2 52:22 64
2 CD Azuaga 30 19 5 6 58:29 62
3 Moralo 30 15 10 5 52:24 55
4 Olivenza FC 30 15 8 7 46:33 53
5 Jerez CF 30 13 10 7 39:25 49
6 Arroyo 30 13 7 10 30:31 46
7 CF Trujillo 30 12 8 10 28:28 44
8 SP Villafranca 30 12 7 11 34:33 43
9 CD Calamonte 30 12 6 12 38:33 42
10 Fuente de Cantos 30 9 12 9 23:28 39
11 Pueblonuevo 30 7 11 12 36:41 32
12 Montehermoso 30 8 7 15 31:53 31
13 Don Alvaro 30 7 6 17 27:54 27
14 Miajadas 30 7 5 18 23:41 26
15 UP Plasencia 30 6 6 18 31:43 24
16 La Estrella 30 5 6 19 30:60 21
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2022/2023 (Play Offs)