Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Miami FC vs Birmingham Legion

USA USA

USL Championship Riccardo Silva Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

29'
Sub
Pasher T. In: Brown N.
Out: Pasher T.
41' Event
Rocha A.
58'
Sub
McCartney D. In: Vassell P.
Out: McCartney D.

AI Match Summary

The USL Championship game between Miami FC and Birmingham Legion finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Miami FC
40%
Draws
29%
Birmingham Legion
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Miami FC come out ahead of Birmingham Legion on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this USL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Miami FC Clean Sheet 15%
Birmingham Legion Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Miami FC Birmingham Legion
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 6
Draws 7 13
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.13 1.13
Goals Conceded 2 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 USL Championship
Miami FC vs Birmingham Legion
1:1
May 8, 2026 USL Championship
Birmingham Legion vs Miami FC
0:0
Oct 19, 2025 USL Championship
Birmingham Legion vs Miami FC
2:3
May 24, 2025 USL Championship
Miami FC vs Birmingham Legion
1:2
Sep 22, 2024 USL Championship
Birmingham Legion vs Miami FC
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Miami FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Rocha A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Birmingham Legion Compare

Top Goalscorer Vassell P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Miami FC 31 / 100
Birmingham Legion 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Miami FC Birmingham Legion

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Birmingham Legion's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Miami FC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Miami FC scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Miami FC VS Birmingham Legion
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tampa Bay1594224:1231
2Charleston1582530:2126
3Detroit City1473421:1424
4Louisville City1573525:2224
5Indy Eleven1363418:1421
6Miami FC1656520:2421
7Pittsburgh Riverhounds1462616:1720
8Hartford Athletic1447312:1319
9Rhode Island1344523:1816
10Birmingham Legion1528516:1914
11Brooklyn FC1433815:2412
12Loudoun United1418517:2811
13Sporting Jax16141121:427
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Orange County SC1677225:1828
2San Antonio FC1567220:1725
3New Mexico1473419:1524
4Oakland Roots1556424:2221
5Colorado Springs1454524:2219
6Sacramento Republic1354415:1319
7El Paso Locomotive1454525:2419
8FC Tulsa1354417:1619
9Lexington1453622:2018
10Phoenix Rising1545620:2217
11Las Vegas Lights1443721:2515
12Monterey Bay1543814:2215