Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Miami FC vs Indy Eleven

USA USA

USL Championship Riccardo Silva Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Da Costa R.
Assist: Sonora J.
63'
Sub
Okello N. In: Sharp C.
Out: Okello N.
63'
Sub
Mesanvi L. In: Omar M.
Out: Mesanvi L.

AI Match Summary

The USL Championship game between Miami FC and Indy Eleven finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Miami FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Miami FC
17%
Draws
13%
Indy Eleven
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Miami FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Indy Eleven come out ahead of Miami FC on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Miami FC's way, sitting at 70%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this USL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Indy Eleven here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Miami FC Clean Sheet 12%
Indy Eleven Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Miami FC Indy Eleven
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 12
Draws 7 6
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.75 1.5
Goals Conceded 2 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2026 USL Championship
Miami FC vs Indy Eleven
2:0
Aug 23, 2025 USL Championship
Indy Eleven vs Miami FC
3:2
Apr 16, 2025 US Open Cup
Indy Eleven vs Miami FC
1:0
Mar 15, 2025 USL Championship
Miami FC vs Indy Eleven
1:3
Sep 28, 2024 USL Championship
Indy Eleven vs Miami FC
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Miami FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Da Costa R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Locadia J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Indy Eleven Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Miami FC 65 / 100
Indy Eleven 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Miami FC Indy Eleven

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MIA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Indy Eleven let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Miami FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Miami FC's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Miami FC VS Indy Eleven
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tampa Bay1594224:1231
2Charleston1582530:2126
3Detroit City1473421:1424
4Louisville City1573525:2224
5Indy Eleven1363418:1421
6Miami FC1656520:2421
7Pittsburgh Riverhounds1462616:1720
8Hartford Athletic1447312:1319
9Rhode Island1344523:1816
10Birmingham Legion1528516:1914
11Brooklyn FC1433815:2412
12Loudoun United1418517:2811
13Sporting Jax16141121:427
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Orange County SC1677225:1828
2San Antonio FC1567220:1725
3New Mexico1473419:1524
4Oakland Roots1556424:2221
5Colorado Springs1454524:2219
6Sacramento Republic1354415:1319
7El Paso Locomotive1454525:2419
8FC Tulsa1354417:1619
9Lexington1453622:2018
10Phoenix Rising1545620:2217
11Las Vegas Lights1443721:2515
12Monterey Bay1543814:2215