Sport Picks
Miami FC vs Indy Eleven - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
USL Championship Riccardo Silva Stadium, Miami, FL 
Match Events
44'
44'
Da Costa R.
Assist: Sonora J.
63'
63'
Sub
Okello N. In: Sharp C.
Out: Okello N.
63'
63'
Sub
Mesanvi L. In: Omar M.
Out: Mesanvi L.
AI Match Summary
The USL Championship game between Miami FC and Indy Eleven finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Miami FC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
61%
20%
19%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Miami FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
61%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Indy Eleven come out ahead of Miami FC on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Miami FC's way, sitting at 90%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this USL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Miami FC Clean Sheet 16%
Indy Eleven Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Miami FC | Indy Eleven |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 11 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.59 | 1.29 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.67 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 USL Championship
Indy Eleven vs Miami FC
0:2
Jul 15, 2026 USL Championship
Miami FC vs Indy Eleven
2:0
Aug 23, 2025 USL Championship
Indy Eleven vs Miami FC
3:2
Apr 16, 2025 US Open Cup
Indy Eleven vs Miami FC
1:0
Mar 15, 2025 USL Championship
Miami FC vs Indy Eleven
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Miami FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Da Costa R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Locadia J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Indy Eleven Compare
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Miami FC 84 / 100
Indy Eleven 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Miami FC Indy Eleven
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Miami FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Solid form: Miami FC remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Attacking prowess: Miami FC scored in 74% of their last 27 outings.
Indy Eleven let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Scoring Trends
Miami FC VS Indy Eleven
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Miami FC
(Home) 03 Oct
Tampa Bay
1 : 2 Miami FC
30 Sept
Miami FC
4 : 1 Sporting Jax
26 Sept
Indy Eleven
0 : 2 Miami FC
19 Sept
Rhode Island
1 : 2 Miami FC
12 Sept
Brooklyn FC
1 : 1 Miami FC
Page 1 of 6
30 Sept
Miami FC
4 : 1 Sporting Jax
06 Sept
Miami FC
2 : 2 Pittsburgh Riverhounds
08 Aug
Miami FC
0 : 1 Las Vegas Lights
01 Aug
Miami FC
2 : 2 Detroit City
25 Jul
Miami FC
2 : 3 Tampa Bay
Page 1 of 3
Indy Eleven
(Away) 03 Oct
Loudoun United
1 : 1 Indy Eleven
30 Sept
Rhode Island
1 : 0 Indy Eleven
26 Sept
Indy Eleven
0 : 2 Miami FC
20 Sept
Indy Eleven
0 : 1 Oakland Roots
15 Sept
Indy Eleven
4 : 0 Brooklyn FC
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Loudoun United
1 : 1 Indy Eleven
30 Sept
Rhode Island
1 : 0 Indy Eleven
12 Sept
New Mexico
2 : 2 Indy Eleven
30 Aug
Phoenix Rising
2 : 1 Indy Eleven
15 Aug
Sporting Jax
0 : 1 Indy Eleven
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 28 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 49:26 | 55 |
| 2 | Detroit City | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 34:20 | 50 |
| 3 | Charleston | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 52:33 | 46 |
| 4 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 30:28 | 41 |
| 5 | Louisville City | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 45:42 | 40 |
| 6 | Hartford Athletic | 27 | 9 | 12 | 6 | 30:28 | 39 |
| 7 | Rhode Island | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 39:30 | 38 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 38:47 | 36 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 34:36 | 34 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 27 | 5 | 12 | 10 | 34:44 | 27 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 36:43 | 23 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 27:55 | 18 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 32:73 | 14 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 48:36 | 50 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 44:33 | 49 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic | 28 | 11 | 12 | 5 | 38:26 | 45 |
| 4 | Lexington | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 49:33 | 44 |
| 5 | FC Tulsa | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 32:25 | 43 |
| 6 | Colorado Springs | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 41:38 | 41 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 37:44 | 39 |
| 8 | San Antonio FC | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 29:29 | 39 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 37:41 | 36 |
| 10 | Phoenix Rising | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 39:42 | 36 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 33:35 | 35 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 30:50 | 21 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
