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Mickleover vs Coalville Town

England England

Southern League Premier Central 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Waite T.

AI Match Summary

Mickleover in this Southern League Premier Central 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mickleover.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

78%
Mickleover
15%
Draws
7%
Coalville Town
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mickleover

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Mickleover have won more games recently than Coalville Town.
  • Mickleover are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Southern League Premier Central 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Coalville Town have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Mickleover Clean Sheet 15%
Coalville Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mickleover Coalville Town
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 10 9
Draws 4 9
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 0.88 1
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
Mickleover vs Coalville Town
1:0
Mar 26, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
Coalville Town vs Mickleover
1:0
Nov 22, 2022 Southern League Premier Central
Coalville Town vs Mickleover
4:1
Aug 16, 2022 Southern League Premier Central
Mickleover vs Coalville Town
2:4
Jul 30, 2021 Club Friendly
Coalville Town vs Mickleover
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mickleover Compare

Top Goalscorer Waite T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Coalville Town Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mickleover 84 / 100
Coalville Town 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mickleover Coalville Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mickleover Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Coalville Town conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

Mickleover went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Coalville Town's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Mickleover VS Coalville Town
0.75 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mickleover

(Home)
26 Sept
Mickleover
2 : 1
Malvern Town
19 Sept
Halesowen
2 : 0
Mickleover
12 Sept
Mickleover
2 : 1
Sutton Coldfield Town
05 Sept
Stamford
0 : 1
Mickleover
29 Aug
Grantham Town
1 : 3
Mickleover
Page 1 of 7

Coalville Town

(Away)
15 Jul
Coalville Town
1 : 2
Coventry Sphinx
13 Jul
Coalville Town
0 : 3
Nuneaton
27 Apr
Coalville Town
1 : 4
Telford
20 Apr
Kettering
1 : 0
Coalville Town
16 Apr
Coalville Town
0 : 0
Stourbridge
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Needham Market 40 26 7 7 74:34 85
2 Telford 40 24 10 6 69:34 82
3 Leamington 40 19 14 7 61:32 71
4 Redditch 40 21 7 12 65:52 70
5 Mickleover 40 25 6 9 77:43 69
6 Stratford 40 21 6 13 69:57 69
7 Stamford 40 19 9 12 80:58 66
8 Halesowen 40 18 8 14 54:50 62
9 St Ives Town 40 18 4 18 87:72 58
10 Royston Town 40 17 6 17 63:61 57
11 Coalville Town 40 15 10 15 68:57 55
12 Stourbridge 40 14 10 16 52:50 52
13 Leiston 40 14 10 16 56:71 52
14 Barwell 40 13 12 15 64:65 51
15 Kettering 40 13 9 18 49:74 48
16 Alvechurch 40 12 9 19 49:70 45
17 Bromsgrove 40 12 8 20 44:51 44
18 Sudbury 40 10 10 20 53:62 40
19 Hitchin 40 11 6 23 46:64 39
20 Long Eaton 40 5 7 28 39:109 22
21 Berkhamsted Town 40 3 12 25 31:84 21
22 Nuneaton 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central 2023/2024 (Play Offs)