Sport Picks
Match Events
15'
15'
Hodgson S.
AI Match Summary
Morpeth in this NPL Premier Division 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Morpeth.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
15%
46%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Morpeth
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Morpeth lately — more wins on the board than Mickleover.
- Mickleover are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Morpeth have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Mickleover Clean Sheet 20%
Morpeth Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mickleover | Morpeth |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 6 | 11 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 19 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.79 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.86 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.35 | 0.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 1, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Mickleover vs Morpeth
0:1
Nov 5, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Morpeth vs Mickleover
3:0
Mar 12, 2022 NPL Premier Division
Morpeth vs Mickleover
3:1
Oct 9, 2021 NPL Premier Division
Mickleover vs Morpeth
0:4
Jan 9, 2021 NPL Premier Division
Morpeth vs Mickleover
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mickleover Compare
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68
Morpeth Compare
Top Goalscorer Hodgson S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mickleover 36 / 100
Morpeth 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mickleover Morpeth
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Morpeth conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Mickleover's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Solid form: Mickleover remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Mickleover VS Morpeth
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Mickleover
(Home) 28 Jul
Worksop
1 : 0 Mickleover
06 Sept
Mickleover
2 : 3 Basford Utd.
26 Apr
Mickleover
2 : 0 Prescot Cables
21 Apr
Ashton United
2 : 0 Mickleover
18 Apr
Mickleover
1 : 0 Leek Town
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Mickleover
2 : 3 Basford Utd.
26 Apr
Mickleover
2 : 0 Prescot Cables
18 Apr
Mickleover
1 : 0 Leek Town
05 Apr
Mickleover
1 : 1 United of Manchester
22 Mar
Mickleover
4 : 3 Whitby
Page 1 of 3
Morpeth
(Away) 18 Jul
Morpeth
2 : 2 Hebburn Town
25 Apr
Morpeth
2 : 0 Warrington Town
18 Apr
Rushall
1 : 0 Morpeth
11 Apr
Hednesford
4 : 0 Morpeth
06 Apr
Morpeth
3 : 0 Whitby
Page 1 of 7
18 Apr
Rushall
1 : 0 Morpeth
11 Apr
Hednesford
4 : 0 Morpeth
03 Apr
Lancaster
3 : 0 Morpeth
21 Mar
Bamber Bridge
0 : 2 Morpeth
10 Mar
Cleethorpes
3 : 1 Morpeth
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Macclesfield | 42 | 35 | 4 | 3 | 109:30 | 109 |
| 2 | Worksop | 42 | 26 | 5 | 11 | 96:51 | 83 |
| 3 | Stockton | 42 | 23 | 6 | 13 | 66:47 | 75 |
| 4 | Guiseley | 42 | 20 | 14 | 8 | 67:45 | 74 |
| 5 | Ashton United | 42 | 20 | 9 | 13 | 72:58 | 69 |
| 6 | Ilkeston | 42 | 18 | 12 | 12 | 69:56 | 66 |
| 7 | Gainsborough | 42 | 18 | 10 | 14 | 58:53 | 64 |
| 8 | Morpeth | 42 | 16 | 14 | 12 | 57:61 | 62 |
| 9 | Hyde | 42 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 59:63 | 57 |
| 10 | Prescot Cables | 42 | 16 | 9 | 17 | 49:54 | 57 |
| 11 | Warrington Rylands | 42 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 60:53 | 56 |
| 12 | Workington | 42 | 15 | 7 | 20 | 61:65 | 52 |
| 13 | Bamber Bridge | 42 | 15 | 7 | 20 | 65:70 | 52 |
| 14 | Hebburn Town | 42 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 60:65 | 52 |
| 15 | Leek Town | 42 | 14 | 10 | 18 | 47:55 | 52 |
| 16 | Whitby | 42 | 15 | 7 | 20 | 55:71 | 52 |
| 17 | United of Manchester | 42 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 55:62 | 51 |
| 18 | Lancaster | 42 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 52:63 | 51 |
| 19 | Matlock | 42 | 10 | 15 | 17 | 59:69 | 42 |
| 20 | Mickleover | 42 | 10 | 9 | 23 | 41:75 | 39 |
| 21 | Basford Utd. | 42 | 10 | 7 | 25 | 50:79 | 37 |
| 22 | Blyth Spartans | 42 | 3 | 9 | 30 | 38:100 | 18 |
Promotion - National League North 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
