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Middelfart vs Aarhus Fremad

Denmark Denmark

1st Division 2025/2026 Middelfart Stadium, Middelfart
Middelfart Logo

Middelfart

0 - 1
FT
Aarhus Fremad Logo

Aarhus Fremad

Our Tip

Match Events

62'
Sub
Kaastrup M. In: Egerton E.
Out: Kaastrup M.
62'
Sub
Kirchheiner M. In: Holvad A.
Out: Kirchheiner M.
67'
Sub
Akale A. In: Boesen M.
Out: Akale A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 1st Division 2025/2026 game between Middelfart and Aarhus Fremad finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aarhus Fremad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Middelfart
15%
Draws
32%
Aarhus Fremad
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Middelfart

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aarhus Fremad come out ahead of Middelfart on wins alone.
  • Middelfart are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Middelfart Clean Sheet 20%
Aarhus Fremad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Middelfart Aarhus Fremad
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 13
Draws 1 7
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 1.62 1.9
Goals Conceded 2.34 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 1st Division
Middelfart vs Aarhus Fremad
0:1
Apr 22, 2026 1st Division
Aarhus Fremad vs Middelfart
5:1
Feb 28, 2026 1st Division
Aarhus Fremad vs Middelfart
4:1
Aug 23, 2025 1st Division
Middelfart vs Aarhus Fremad
2:2
May 31, 2025 2nd Division
Aarhus Fremad vs Middelfart
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Middelfart Compare

Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Aarhus Fremad Compare

Top Goalscorer Agnarsson M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Middelfart 85 / 100
Aarhus Fremad 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Middelfart Aarhus Fremad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MID Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Middelfart remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Middelfart found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Aarhus Fremad's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Middelfart VS Aarhus Fremad
2.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Middelfart

(Home)
07 Aug
Middelfart
4 : 0
Brabrand
04 Aug
Bredballe
0 : 2
Middelfart
01 Aug
Middelfart
4 : 1
Thisted FC
25 Jul
Naesby
0 : 1
Middelfart
18 Jul
Middelfart
3 : 0
VSK Aarhus
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Aarhus Fremad

(Away)
08 Aug
Aarhus Fremad
3 : 1
Koge
04 Aug
Ringkobing
0 : 4
Aarhus Fremad
31 Jul
Aarhus Fremad
1 : 2
Aalborg
26 Jul
Hobro
1 : 2
Aarhus Fremad
17 Jul
Viborg
1 : 0
Aarhus Fremad
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Aalborg 32 12 10 10 50:47 46
8 Aarhus Fremad 32 11 11 10 52:37 44
9 Hobro 32 11 9 12 40:43 42
10 Koge 32 11 7 14 42:48 40
11 Boldklubben 1893 32 10 7 15 44:58 37
12 Middelfart 32 3 6 23 32:77 15
Relegation - 2nd Division (Main)