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Middelfart vs Marienlyst

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Club Friendly 2024
Tue, Jul 23, 2024
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Middelfart host Marienlyst in the Club Friendly 2024. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Marienlyst have shipped 2 goals a game lately, while Middelfart have conceded 3.5 and scored 0.75. Past meetings favor Middelfart slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 23, 2024, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 2.75) point toward Marienlyst. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Middelfart
11%
Draws
9%
Marienlyst
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Middelfart

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Middelfart haven't matched Marienlyst's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Middelfart's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Middelfart Clean Sheet 10%
Marienlyst Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Middelfart Marienlyst
Matches Played 33 28
Wins 10 12
Draws 2 1
Losses 21 15
Goals Scored 0.75 2
Goals Conceded 3.5 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.50 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 23, 2024 Club Friendly
Middelfart vs Marienlyst
0:0
Jan 23, 2024 Club Friendly
Middelfart vs Marienlyst
0:1
Feb 8, 2022 Club Friendly
Middelfart vs Marienlyst
5:2
Sep 22, 2021 Betano Pokalen
Marienlyst vs Middelfart
1:2
Feb 10, 2020 Club Friendly
Middelfart vs Marienlyst
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Middelfart 74 / 100
Marienlyst 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Middelfart Marienlyst

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MID Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Middelfart scored in 73% of their last 33 outings.

Marienlyst's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Marienlyst lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Middelfart VS Marienlyst
0.75 Goals Scored 2
3.5 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 100%