Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Middelfart vs Tarup-Paarup

World World

Club Friendly 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Stage A.
57' Event
Akpan U. W.
60' Event
Akpan U. W.

AI Match Summary

Middelfart in this Club Friendly 2023 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Middelfart.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Middelfart
20%
Draws
10%
Tarup-Paarup
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Middelfart

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Middelfart have won more games recently than Tarup-Paarup.
  • Win probability leans Middelfart's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Middelfart Clean Sheet 20%
Tarup-Paarup Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Middelfart Tarup-Paarup
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 2 4
Losses 17 19
Goals Scored 1.7 1.3
Goals Conceded 2.17 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2023 Club Friendly
Middelfart vs Tarup-Paarup
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Middelfart Compare

Top Goalscorer Akpan U. W.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Stage A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Tarup-Paarup Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Middelfart 85 / 100
Tarup-Paarup 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Middelfart Tarup-Paarup

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Middelfart Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Middelfart found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Tarup-Paarup let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Middelfart went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Middelfart VS Tarup-Paarup
1.63 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Middelfart

(Home)
09 Sept
Nykobing
6 : 5
Middelfart
05 Sept
Middelfart
1 : 1
Fremad Amager
29 Aug
Hellerup
1 : 2
Middelfart
25 Aug
OKS Odense
0 : 1
Middelfart
22 Aug
Middelfart
2 : 3
Nykobing
Page 1 of 6

Tarup-Paarup

(Away)
05 Aug
Tarup-Paarup
0 : 3
Vejle
21 Feb
Tarup-Paarup
0 : 6
Naesby
06 Aug
Morud
3 : 2
Tarup-Paarup
30 Jul
Naesby
5 : 2
Tarup-Paarup
24 Feb
Tarup-Paarup
1 : 1
Naesby
Page 1 of 6