Sport Picks
Match Events
12'
12'
Clarke K.
Assist: Blake Z.
21'
21'
Ogedengbe K. T.
48'
48'
Turner F.
Assist: Tremain J.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League U18 game between Middlesbrough U18 and Derby U18 finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Derby U18.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
20%
44%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Derby U18
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Middlesbrough U18 have managed 1.66 goals a game lately — Derby U18 are scoring more at 1.79.
- Win probability leans Middlesbrough U18's way, sitting at 36%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Middlesbrough U18 Clean Sheet 10%
Derby U18 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Middlesbrough U18 | Derby U18 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 12 |
| Draws | 5 | 2 |
| Losses | 12 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.66 | 1.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.76 | 2.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.44 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 Premier League U18
Middlesbrough U18 vs Derby U18
1:3
Feb 14, 2026 Premier League U18
Middlesbrough U18 vs Derby U18
3:2
Sep 27, 2025 Premier League U18
Derby U18 vs Middlesbrough U18
0:0
Feb 22, 2025 Premier League U18
Middlesbrough U18 vs Derby U18
2:4
Sep 28, 2024 Premier League U18
Derby U18 vs Middlesbrough U18
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Middlesbrough U18 Compare
Top Goalscorer Turner F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22
Derby U18 Compare
Top Goalscorer Clarke K.
2 Goals Assists Leader Ogedengbe K. T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Middlesbrough U18 34 / 100
Derby U18 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Middlesbrough U18 Derby U18
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Derby U18 let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.
Middlesbrough U18's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Solid form: Middlesbrough U18 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Middlesbrough U18 VS Derby U18
2.25 Goals Scored 2
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
88% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Middlesbrough U18
(Home) 12 Sept
Nottingham U18
0 : 1 Middlesbrough U18
05 Sept
Manchester United U18
5 : 0 Middlesbrough U18
29 Aug
Middlesbrough U18
1 : 3 Derby U18
22 Aug
Liverpool U18
2 : 2 Middlesbrough U18
15 Aug
Middlesbrough U18
2 : 2 Leicester U18
Page 1 of 6
29 Aug
Middlesbrough U18
1 : 3 Derby U18
15 Aug
Middlesbrough U18
2 : 2 Leicester U18
09 May
Middlesbrough U18
0 : 4 Newcastle Utd U18
18 Apr
Middlesbrough U18
9 : 0 Blackburn U18
21 Mar
Middlesbrough U18
1 : 2 Leeds U18
Page 1 of 3
Derby U18
(Away) 12 Sept
Stoke City U18
0 : 2 Derby U18
05 Sept
Derby U18
0 : 2 Nottingham U18
29 Aug
Middlesbrough U18
1 : 3 Derby U18
22 Aug
Derby U18
1 : 4 Burnley U18
15 Aug
Newcastle Utd U18
3 : 1 Derby U18
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Stoke City U18
0 : 2 Derby U18
29 Aug
Middlesbrough U18
1 : 3 Derby U18
15 Aug
Newcastle Utd U18
3 : 1 Derby U18
02 May
Manchester City U18
5 : 3 Derby U18
11 Apr
Wolves U18
1 : 2 Derby U18
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City U18 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20:8 | 15 |
| 2 | Newcastle Utd U18 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 16:7 | 12 |
| 3 | Nottingham U18 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13:2 | 9 |
| 4 | Manchester United U18 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10:1 | 9 |
| 5 | Liverpool U18 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11:8 | 7 |
| 6 | Burnley U18 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11:9 | 7 |
| 7 | Everton U18 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11:6 | 6 |
| 8 | Derby U18 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:10 | 6 |
| 9 | Leeds U18 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8:16 | 6 |
| 10 | Blackburn U18 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:15 | 6 |
| 11 | Middlesbrough U18 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:12 | 5 |
| 12 | Stoke City U18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9:16 | 3 |
| 13 | Sunderland U18 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:6 | 1 |
| 14 | Leicester U18 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:9 | 1 |
| 15 | Wolves U18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:12 | 0 |
Promotion - Premier League U18 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tottenham U18 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 26:8 | 13 |
| 2 | Southampton U18 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 19:9 | 12 |
| 3 | Fulham U18 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 20:12 | 11 |
| 4 | Chelsea U18 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 20:10 | 9 |
| 5 | Ipswich U18 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15:12 | 9 |
| 6 | Aston Villa U18 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13:9 | 8 |
| 7 | Arsenal U18 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 7 |
| 8 | West Ham U18 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13:15 | 7 |
| 9 | West Brom U18 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | 7 |
| 10 | Brighton U18 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11:15 | 7 |
| 11 | Brentford U18 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12:15 | 6 |
| 12 | Norwich U18 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12:17 | 6 |
| 13 | Bournemouth U18 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 14:17 | 5 |
| 14 | Crystal Palace U18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6:12 | 3 |
| 15 | Birmingham U18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6:19 | 3 |
| 16 | Reading U18 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6:20 | 1 |
Promotion - Premier League U18 (Play Offs)
