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Middlesbrough U18 vs Manchester United U18

England England

Premier League U18 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Gabriel J.
41' Event
Listowell H. L.
45' Event
Edmundson L.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Manchester United U18 in this Premier League U18 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Manchester United U18.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Middlesbrough U18
15%
Draws
54%
Manchester United U18
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Manchester United U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Manchester United U18 lately — more wins on the board than Middlesbrough U18.
  • Win probability leans Manchester United U18's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League U18 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
  • Manchester United U18 have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Middlesbrough U18 Clean Sheet 10%
Manchester United U18 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Middlesbrough U18 Manchester United U18
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 21
Draws 5 2
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.77 2.53
Goals Conceded 1.7 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Premier League U18
Manchester United U18 vs Middlesbrough U18
5:0
Feb 7, 2026 Premier League U18
Middlesbrough U18 vs Manchester United U18
1:2
Aug 23, 2025 Premier League U18
Manchester United U18 vs Middlesbrough U18
5:0
Mar 3, 2025 Premier League U18
Manchester United U18 vs Middlesbrough U18
3:1
Sep 21, 2024 Premier League U18
Middlesbrough U18 vs Manchester United U18
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Middlesbrough U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Listowell H. L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Manchester United U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Middlesbrough U18 10 / 100
Manchester United U18 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Middlesbrough U18 Manchester United U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Manchester United U18 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Middlesbrough U18 found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Manchester United U18 conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Middlesbrough U18 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Middlesbrough U18 VS Manchester United U18
2 Goals Scored 1.75
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Middlesbrough U18

(Home)
19 Sept
Middlesbrough U18
5 : 0
Blackburn U18
12 Sept
Nottingham U18
0 : 1
Middlesbrough U18
05 Sept
Manchester United U18
5 : 0
Middlesbrough U18
29 Aug
Middlesbrough U18
1 : 3
Derby U18
22 Aug
Liverpool U18
2 : 2
Middlesbrough U18
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Manchester United U18

(Away)
19 Sept
Manchester United U18
6 : 0
Wolves U18
12 Sept
Newcastle Utd U18
0 : 2
Manchester United U18
05 Sept
Manchester United U18
5 : 0
Middlesbrough U18
29 Aug
Everton U18
0 : 3
Manchester United U18
22 Aug
Manchester United U18
0 : 1
Manchester City U18
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City U18 26 19 3 4 96:39 60
2 Manchester United U18 26 18 2 6 65:24 56
3 Newcastle Utd U18 26 16 1 9 55:44 49
4 Everton U18 26 13 3 10 54:45 42
5 Nottingham U18 26 13 3 10 50:47 42
6 Sunderland U18 26 11 6 9 56:44 39
7 Middlesbrough U18 26 12 3 11 45:45 39
8 Liverpool U18 26 11 2 13 70:70 35
9 Blackburn U18 26 9 6 11 51:68 33
10 Derby U18 26 10 2 14 44:67 32
11 Burnley U18 26 9 3 14 49:68 30
12 Leeds U18 26 8 5 13 47:68 29
13 Wolves U18 26 5 5 16 29:55 20
14 Stoke City U18 26 5 2 19 42:69 17
Promotion - Premier League U18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chelsea U18 28 21 4 3 88:24 67
2 Tottenham U18 28 16 6 6 70:36 54
3 Aston Villa U18 28 17 3 8 82:55 54
4 Brighton U18 28 14 7 7 63:41 49
5 Crystal Palace U18 28 14 4 10 74:52 46
6 West Brom U18 28 14 4 10 68:50 46
7 Southampton U18 28 13 3 12 65:61 42
8 West Ham U18 28 13 2 13 62:59 41
9 Leicester U18 28 10 6 12 46:53 36
10 Arsenal U18 28 9 6 13 46:57 33
11 Fulham U18 28 9 6 13 48:65 33
12 Norwich U18 28 6 8 14 47:67 26
13 Reading U18 28 6 8 14 38:66 26
14 Birmingham U18 28 6 3 19 29:88 21
15 Ipswich U18 28 6 2 20 41:93 20
Promotion - Premier League U18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)