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Middlesbrough U18 vs Newcastle Utd U18 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Premier League U18
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Middlesbrough U18 host Newcastle Utd U18 in the Premier League U18. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Middlesbrough U18 at 1.79 goals for, 1.72 against; Newcastle Utd U18 at 2.07 for, 1.8 against. Past meetings favor Newcastle Utd U18 slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 9, 2026, ending 0:4. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 2.94) point toward Newcastle Utd U18. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Middlesbrough U18
15%
Draws
54%
Newcastle Utd U18
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Newcastle Utd U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Middlesbrough U18 haven't matched Newcastle Utd U18's recent run of results.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Newcastle Utd U18 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Newcastle Utd U18 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Middlesbrough U18 Clean Sheet 10%
Newcastle Utd U18 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Middlesbrough U18 Newcastle Utd U18
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 18
Draws 4 0
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.79 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Premier League U18
Middlesbrough U18 vs Newcastle Utd U18
0:4
Dec 13, 2025 Premier League U18
Newcastle Utd U18 vs Middlesbrough U18
2:1
Jan 25, 2025 Premier League U18
Middlesbrough U18 vs Newcastle Utd U18
2:4
Aug 17, 2024 Premier League U18
Newcastle Utd U18 vs Middlesbrough U18
0:1
May 7, 2024 Premier League U18
Middlesbrough U18 vs Newcastle Utd U18
3:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Middlesbrough U18 10 / 100
Newcastle Utd U18 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Middlesbrough U18 Newcastle Utd U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Newcastle Utd U18 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newcastle Utd U18 let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Middlesbrough U18's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Middlesbrough U18 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Middlesbrough U18 VS Newcastle Utd U18
1 Goals Scored 3.13
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Middlesbrough U18

(Home)
19 Sept
Middlesbrough U18
5 : 0
Blackburn U18
12 Sept
Nottingham U18
0 : 1
Middlesbrough U18
05 Sept
Manchester United U18
5 : 0
Middlesbrough U18
29 Aug
Middlesbrough U18
1 : 3
Derby U18
22 Aug
Liverpool U18
2 : 2
Middlesbrough U18
Page 1 of 6

Newcastle Utd U18

(Away)
19 Sept
Sunderland U18
0 : 3
Newcastle Utd U18
12 Sept
Newcastle Utd U18
0 : 2
Manchester United U18
05 Sept
Leicester U18
1 : 4
Newcastle Utd U18
29 Aug
Newcastle Utd U18
6 : 1
Blackburn U18
22 Aug
Newcastle Utd U18
3 : 2
Stoke City U18
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City U18 6 6 0 0 26:8 18
2 Newcastle Utd U18 6 5 0 1 19:7 15
3 Manchester United U18 5 4 0 1 16:1 12
4 Nottingham U18 5 3 1 1 15:4 10
5 Liverpool U18 5 2 2 1 14:11 8
6 Burnley U18 6 2 2 2 13:11 8
7 Middlesbrough U18 6 2 2 2 11:12 8
8 Derby U18 6 2 1 3 10:13 7
9 Everton U18 5 2 0 3 11:12 6
10 Leeds U18 5 2 0 3 8:16 6
11 Blackburn U18 5 2 0 3 5:20 6
12 Stoke City U18 6 1 1 4 11:18 4
13 Leicester U18 4 0 2 2 6:11 2
14 Sunderland U18 3 0 1 2 3:9 1
15 Wolves U18 5 0 0 5 3:18 0
Promotion - Premier League U18 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tottenham U18 6 5 1 0 33:9 16
2 Chelsea U18 7 5 0 2 28:10 15
3 Southampton U18 6 4 0 2 21:12 12
4 Fulham U18 6 3 3 0 23:15 12
5 Arsenal U18 6 3 1 2 10:6 10
6 West Ham U18 6 3 1 2 16:15 10
7 Brighton U18 6 3 1 2 15:17 10
8 Ipswich U18 6 3 0 3 15:15 9
9 Brentford U18 6 3 0 3 15:15 9
10 Aston Villa U18 6 2 2 2 15:13 8
11 West Brom U18 6 2 1 3 5:14 7
12 Norwich U18 6 2 0 4 13:22 6
13 Bournemouth U18 6 1 2 3 14:22 5
14 Crystal Palace U18 6 1 1 4 9:15 4
15 Reading U18 7 1 1 5 9:25 4
16 Birmingham U18 6 1 0 5 6:22 3
Promotion - Premier League U18 (Play Offs)