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Middlesbrough U21 vs Bolton U21

England England

Premier League U21 2014/2015 Toughsheet Community Stadium, Bolton
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Ledesma E.
67' Event
Cooke C.
75' Event
Williams L.

AI Match Summary

Middlesbrough U21 in this Premier League U21 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Middlesbrough U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Middlesbrough U21
30%
Draws
51%
Bolton U21
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bolton U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Bolton U21 haven't matched Middlesbrough U21's recent run of results.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Bolton U21 taking it.
  • Regular Premier League U21 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Middlesbrough U21 have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Middlesbrough U21 Clean Sheet 12%
Bolton U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Middlesbrough U21 Bolton U21
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 8 11
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 2.1 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2015 Premier League U21
Middlesbrough U21 vs Bolton U21
3:0
Dec 1, 2014 Premier League U21
Bolton U21 vs Middlesbrough U21
1:2
Sep 2, 2013 Premier League U21
Bolton U21 vs Middlesbrough U21
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Middlesbrough U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ledesma E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cooke C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Bolton U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Middlesbrough U21 10 / 100
Bolton U21 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Middlesbrough U21 Bolton U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bolton U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Middlesbrough U21 scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Bolton U21 let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Middlesbrough U21 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Middlesbrough U21 VS Bolton U21
2.75 Goals Scored 2.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Middlesbrough U21

(Home)
18 Sept
Aston Villa U21
2 : 2
Middlesbrough U21
13 Sept
Middlesbrough U21
4 : 4
Leeds U21
09 Sept
Tamworth
1 : 3
Middlesbrough U21
31 Aug
Bournemouth U21
3 : 1
Middlesbrough U21
23 Aug
Middlesbrough U21
0 : 1
Norwich U21
Page 1 of 7

Bolton U21

(Away)
15 Sept
Millwall U21
0 : 3
Bolton U21
04 Sept
Bolton U21
1 : 1
Southampton U21
31 Aug
Bolton U21
3 : 1
Coventry U21
25 Aug
Bolton U21
7 : 0
Colchester U21
18 Aug
Charlton U21
0 : 1
Bolton U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester United U21 22 11 7 4 39:23 40
2 Liverpool U21 22 11 3 8 45:35 36
3 Chelsea U21 22 10 5 7 39:27 35
4 Sunderland U21 22 10 5 7 26:24 35
5 Manchester City U21 22 10 3 9 44:40 33
6 Leicester U21 22 9 5 8 39:37 32
7 Norwich U21 22 8 8 6 34:32 32
8 Southampton U21 22 9 4 9 32:34 31
9 Tottenham U21 22 8 5 9 30:30 29
10 Everton U21 22 8 3 11 32:37 27
11 Fulham U21 22 6 4 12 27:45 22
12 West Ham U21 22 5 2 15 20:43 17
Relegation - Premier League U21 (Main)
Relegation - Premier League U21 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League U21 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League U21 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough U21 22 16 2 4 39:23 50
2 Reading U21 22 13 2 7 38:30 41
3 Derby U21 22 12 4 6 39:20 40
4 Arsenal U21 22 11 4 7 38:25 37
5 West Brom U21 22 10 7 5 37:27 37
6 Newcastle Utd U21 22 9 5 8 43:39 32
7 Aston Villa U21 22 8 3 11 25:36 27
8 Brighton U21 22 6 5 11 19:23 23
9 Bolton U21 22 5 8 9 26:33 23
10 Blackburn U21 22 5 6 11 23:31 21
11 Stoke City U21 22 4 6 12 23:50 18
12 Wolves U21 22 3 8 11 24:37 17
Relegation - Premier League U21 (Main)
Relegation - Premier League U21 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League U21 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League U21 (Main)