Sport Picks
Middlesbrough vs Portsmouth
England
Championship 2025/2026 Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough 
Match Events
26'
26'
Williams J.
46'
46'
Sub
Targett M. In: Ayling L.
Out: Targett M.
46'
46'
Sub
Sarmiento J. In: Hansen S.
Out: Sarmiento J.
AI Match Summary
The Championship 2025/2026 game between Middlesbrough and Portsmouth finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Portsmouth.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
52%
35%
13%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Middlesbrough
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Portsmouth haven't matched Middlesbrough's recent run of results.
- Middlesbrough are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Championship 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Middlesbrough Clean Sheet 20%
Portsmouth Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Middlesbrough | Portsmouth |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 8 |
| Draws | 10 | 8 |
| Losses | 7 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 1.18 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.11 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 11, 2026 Championship
Middlesbrough vs Portsmouth
0:1
Oct 4, 2025 Championship
Portsmouth vs Middlesbrough
1:0
Jan 18, 2025 Championship
Portsmouth vs Middlesbrough
2:1
Aug 24, 2024 Championship
Middlesbrough vs Portsmouth
2:2
Mar 3, 2012 Championship
Portsmouth vs Middlesbrough
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Middlesbrough Compare
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Portsmouth Compare
Top Goalscorer Chaplin C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Middlesbrough 76 / 100
Portsmouth 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Middlesbrough Portsmouth
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Middlesbrough Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Portsmouth has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.
Attacking prowess: Middlesbrough scored in 78% of their last 27 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Middlesbrough has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Middlesbrough VS Portsmouth
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Middlesbrough
(Home) 15 Aug
Middlesbrough
2 : 1 Lincoln City
07 Aug
Middlesbrough
1 : 0 Wrexham
01 Aug
Middlesbrough
3 : 3 Espanyol
25 Jul
Middlesbrough
1 : 3 Huddersfield
18 Jul
Celtic
1 : 1 Middlesbrough
Page 1 of 6
15 Aug
Middlesbrough
2 : 1 Lincoln City
07 Aug
Middlesbrough
1 : 0 Wrexham
01 Aug
Middlesbrough
3 : 3 Espanyol
25 Jul
Middlesbrough
1 : 3 Huddersfield
09 May
Middlesbrough
0 : 0 Southampton
Page 1 of 3
Portsmouth
(Away) 15 Aug
Portsmouth
1 : 3 QPR
08 Aug
West Ham
3 : 1 Portsmouth
01 Aug
Darmstadt
0 : 0 Portsmouth
29 Jul
Farnborough
1 : 1 Portsmouth
25 Jul
Wycombe
3 : 1 Portsmouth
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
West Ham
3 : 1 Portsmouth
01 Aug
Darmstadt
0 : 0 Portsmouth
29 Jul
Farnborough
1 : 1 Portsmouth
25 Jul
Wycombe
3 : 1 Portsmouth
18 Jul
Bristol Rovers
1 : 1 Portsmouth
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 97:45 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich | 46 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 80:47 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall | 46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 64:49 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 82:56 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 72:47 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 70:66 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69:65 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 67:59 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich | 46 | 19 | 8 | 19 | 63:56 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 57:56 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 57:59 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 59:59 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield Utd | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 66:66 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 55:62 | 60 |
| 15 | QPR | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 61:73 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 53:65 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 51:56 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 49:64 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 44:58 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 42:56 | 52 |
| 21 | West Brom | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 48:58 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford Utd | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 45:59 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 58:68 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 46 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 29:89 | 0 |
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One (Main)
