Sport Picks
Match Events
28'
28'
Sub
Marchioni J. In: Benegas M.
Out: Marchioni J.
37'
37'
Ubeda S.
39'
39'
Rogoski M.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
35%
20%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Midland
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Midland lately — more wins on the board than Almagro.
- Win probability leans Midland's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Midland Clean Sheet 68%
Almagro Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Midland | Almagro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 7 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.34 | 0.76 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.72 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 1, 2026 Primera Nacional
Almagro vs Midland
1:1
Mar 15, 2026 Primera Nacional
Midland vs Almagro
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Midland Compare
Top Goalscorer Rogoski M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Almagro Compare
Top Goalscorer Lopez T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Midland 95 / 100
Almagro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Midland Almagro
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick MID Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Solid form: Midland remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Attacking prowess: Midland scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Almagro conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Midland VS Almagro
1 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Midland
(Home) 07 Aug
Midland
2 : 0 Deportivo Maipu
01 Aug
Almagro
1 : 1 Midland
26 Jul
Midland
1 : 0 Patronato
12 Jul
Midland
1 : 0 Quilmes
05 Jul
Midland
1 : 1 Gimnasia Jujuy
Page 1 of 6
07 Aug
Midland
2 : 0 Deportivo Maipu
26 Jul
Midland
1 : 0 Patronato
12 Jul
Midland
1 : 0 Quilmes
05 Jul
Midland
1 : 1 Gimnasia Jujuy
13 Jun
Midland
1 : 2 Atletico Atlanta
Page 1 of 3
Almagro
(Away) 09 Aug
Quilmes
1 : 1 Almagro
05 Aug
Almagro
0 : 2 Gimnasia y Tiro
01 Aug
Almagro
1 : 1 Midland
27 Jul
Atletico Atlanta
1 : 3 Almagro
12 Jul
San Martin T.
3 : 0 Almagro
Page 1 of 6
09 Aug
Quilmes
1 : 1 Almagro
27 Jul
Atletico Atlanta
1 : 3 Almagro
12 Jul
San Martin T.
3 : 0 Almagro
06 Jun
Tristan Suarez
0 : 0 Almagro
24 May
Chacarita Juniors
1 : 0 Almagro
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 28:22 | 46 |
| 2 | Deportivo Moron | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 37:22 | 41 |
| 3 | Colon Santa Fe | 24 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 29:19 | 39 |
| 4 | Almirante Brown | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 19:13 | 38 |
| 5 | Godoy Cruz | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 27:20 | 37 |
| 6 | Deportivo Madryn | 23 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 30:22 | 36 |
| 7 | Ciudad Bolivar | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 21:21 | 34 |
| 8 | Los Andes | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 20:11 | 33 |
| 9 | CA Estudiantes | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 20:20 | 32 |
| 10 | Racing Cordoba | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 23:28 | 30 |
| 11 | CA Mitre | 24 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 24:28 | 28 |
| 12 | San Miguel | 23 | 5 | 11 | 7 | 17:23 | 26 |
| 13 | Defensores de Belgrano | 23 | 5 | 10 | 8 | 16:21 | 25 |
| 14 | All Boys | 24 | 4 | 12 | 8 | 14:23 | 24 |
| 15 | San Telmo | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 18:24 | 23 |
| 16 | Central Norte | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 15:24 | 23 |
| 17 | Chaco For Ever | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 21:28 | 22 |
| 18 | Acassuso | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 17:28 | 21 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 23:12 | 42 |
| 2 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 35:29 | 41 |
| 3 | Atletico Atlanta | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 29:22 | 39 |
| 4 | Midland | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 25:16 | 37 |
| 5 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 26:22 | 37 |
| 6 | Temperley | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 24:21 | 37 |
| 7 | Atl. Rafaela | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 18:19 | 34 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 31:26 | 32 |
| 9 | San Martin T. | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 22:20 | 31 |
| 10 | Colegiales | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 23:23 | 30 |
| 11 | Almagro | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 21:27 | 30 |
| 12 | Quilmes | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24:21 | 29 |
| 13 | Nueva Chicago | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 20:22 | 29 |
| 14 | San Martin S.J. | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 23:23 | 28 |
| 15 | Chacarita Juniors | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 18:24 | 26 |
| 16 | Agropecuario | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 21:28 | 26 |
| 17 | Patronato | 23 | 4 | 12 | 7 | 18:23 | 24 |
| 18 | Club Atletico Guemes | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 20:42 | 19 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
