Sport Picks
Midland vs Atl. Rafaela - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Argentina
Primera Nacional Raul Roberto Sabureau Stadium, Buenos Aires 
Match Events
13'
13'
Bulacio D.
Assist: Marin F.
25'
25'
Marin F.
Assist: Roseti M.
28'
28'
Rodriguez A.
AI Match Summary
Midland in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Midland.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Midland
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Midland have won more games recently than Atl. Rafaela.
- Midland are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Midland Clean Sheet 68%
Atl. Rafaela Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Midland | Atl. Rafaela |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 10, 2026 Primera Nacional
Midland vs Atl. Rafaela
4:0
May 23, 2026 Primera Nacional
Atl. Rafaela vs Midland
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Midland Compare
Top Goalscorer Bulacio D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Marin F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Atl. Rafaela Compare
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Midland 59 / 100
Atl. Rafaela 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Midland Atl. Rafaela
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Midland Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Midland scored in 74% of their last 31 games.
H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Midland remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Away concern: Atl. Rafaela has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Midland VS Atl. Rafaela
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Midland
(Home) 04 Oct
Agropecuario
0 : 0 Midland
27 Sept
Midland
0 : 1 Tristan Suarez
20 Sept
Club Atletico Guemes
0 : 2 Midland
13 Sept
Midland
1 : 0 Chacarita Juniors
06 Sept
San Martin S.J.
3 : 2 Midland
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
Midland
0 : 1 Tristan Suarez
13 Sept
Midland
1 : 0 Chacarita Juniors
29 Aug
Midland
2 : 0 Nueva Chicago
07 Aug
Midland
2 : 0 Deportivo Maipu
26 Jul
Midland
1 : 0 Patronato
Page 1 of 3
Atl. Rafaela
(Away) 04 Oct
Atl. Rafaela
2 : 3 Atletico Atlanta
27 Sept
Gimnasia y Tiro
1 : 0 Atl. Rafaela
19 Sept
Atl. Rafaela
4 : 2 San Martin T.
13 Sept
Gimnasia Jujuy
2 : 1 Atl. Rafaela
06 Sept
Agropecuario
2 : 0 Atl. Rafaela
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Gimnasia y Tiro
1 : 0 Atl. Rafaela
13 Sept
Gimnasia Jujuy
2 : 1 Atl. Rafaela
06 Sept
Agropecuario
2 : 0 Atl. Rafaela
24 Aug
Club Atletico Guemes
0 : 0 Atl. Rafaela
01 Aug
San Martin S.J.
1 : 1 Atl. Rafaela
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 36:27 | 61 |
| 2 | Deportivo Moron | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 51:32 | 58 |
| 3 | Godoy Cruz | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 42:29 | 56 |
| 4 | Deportivo Madryn | 32 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 46:28 | 53 |
| 5 | Colon Santa Fe | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 39:25 | 52 |
| 6 | Almirante Brown | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 25:21 | 46 |
| 7 | CA Estudiantes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 29:27 | 45 |
| 8 | Ciudad Bolivar | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 27:28 | 45 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 32 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 25:23 | 40 |
| 10 | Chaco For Ever | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 30:33 | 37 |
| 11 | Defensores de Belgrano | 32 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 25:29 | 37 |
| 12 | San Telmo | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 28:36 | 37 |
| 13 | Racing Cordoba | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 29:39 | 37 |
| 14 | CA Mitre | 32 | 7 | 14 | 11 | 29:39 | 35 |
| 15 | Central Norte | 32 | 6 | 15 | 11 | 20:29 | 33 |
| 16 | All Boys | 32 | 6 | 15 | 11 | 18:28 | 33 |
| 17 | San Miguel | 32 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 25:38 | 31 |
| 18 | Acassuso | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 22:35 | 29 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 32 | 15 | 13 | 4 | 32:15 | 58 |
| 2 | Temperley | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 38:26 | 56 |
| 3 | Atletico Atlanta | 32 | 17 | 4 | 11 | 38:30 | 55 |
| 4 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 48:40 | 54 |
| 5 | Midland | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 34:26 | 48 |
| 6 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 32:28 | 48 |
| 7 | Deportivo Maipu | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 39:31 | 47 |
| 8 | Colegiales | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 32:31 | 46 |
| 9 | San Martin S.J. | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 34:32 | 45 |
| 10 | San Martin T. | 32 | 10 | 13 | 9 | 35:32 | 43 |
| 11 | Atl. Rafaela | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 27:30 | 42 |
| 12 | Quilmes | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 30:27 | 39 |
| 13 | Almagro | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 28:38 | 38 |
| 14 | Agropecuario | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 26:35 | 37 |
| 15 | Nueva Chicago | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 23:30 | 36 |
| 16 | Patronato | 32 | 6 | 16 | 10 | 27:32 | 34 |
| 17 | Chacarita Juniors | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 24:33 | 33 |
| 18 | Club Atletico Guemes | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 23:54 | 23 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
