Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Miercurea Ciuc W vs CSM Alexandria W

Romania Romania

Romanian Cup Women 2024/2025 Stadionul Municipal, Miercurea Ciuc
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Tobik M.
29' Event
Herczeg A.
47' Event
Nyeki A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-0, with Miercurea Ciuc W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Miercurea Ciuc W
6%
Draws
90%
CSM Alexandria W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: CSM Alexandria W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Miercurea Ciuc W come out ahead of CSM Alexandria W on wins alone.
  • Model gives CSM Alexandria W a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Miercurea Ciuc W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Miercurea Ciuc W, who have won 3 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Miercurea Ciuc W here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Miercurea Ciuc W Clean Sheet 20%
CSM Alexandria W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Miercurea Ciuc W CSM Alexandria W
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 19 15
Draws 5 1
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 3.13 0
Goals Conceded 1.38 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2025 Romanian Cup Women
Miercurea Ciuc W vs CSM Alexandria W
4:0
Dec 10, 2023 Superliga Women
Miercurea Ciuc W vs CSM Alexandria W
16:0
Oct 13, 2023 Superliga Women
CSM Alexandria W vs Miercurea Ciuc W
1:3
Aug 27, 2022 Superliga Women
Miercurea Ciuc W vs CSM Alexandria W
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Miercurea Ciuc W Compare

Top Goalscorer Nyeki A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tobik M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.41
Avg xA / game 1.56

CSM Alexandria W Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Miercurea Ciuc W 10 / 100
CSM Alexandria W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Miercurea Ciuc W CSM Alexandria W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 7.25 goals as a typical output.

Miercurea Ciuc W found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (33 games).

CSM Alexandria W has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Miercurea Ciuc W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Miercurea Ciuc W VS -
3.13 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Miercurea Ciuc W

(Home)
30 May
Farul Constanta W
2 : 0
Miercurea Ciuc W
24 May
Miercurea Ciuc W
4 : 2
Politehnica Timisoara W
20 May
Olimpia Cluj W
2 : 1
Miercurea Ciuc W
17 May
Miercurea Ciuc W
0 : 0
Olimpia Cluj W
13 May
Miercurea Ciuc W
0 : 1
Olimpia Cluj W
Page 1 of 7

CSM Alexandria W

(Away)
14 May
Miercurea Ciuc W
4 : 0
CSM Alexandria W
30 Apr
CSM Alexandria W
8 : 0
Petrolul W
16 Apr
Politehnica Timisoara W
2 : 4
CSM Alexandria W
19 Mar
CSM Alexandria W
6 : 0
Poli Iasi W
25 May
Gloria Bistrita W
3 : 1
CSM Alexandria W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Miercurea Ciuc W4
CSM Alexandria W0
Farul Constanta W1
Olimpia Gherla W0
Final
Miercurea Ciuc W3
Farul Constanta W0