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Mighty Wanderers FC vs Ekhaya

Malawi Malawi

Super League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mighty Wanderers FC play Ekhaya in the Super League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Mighty Wanderers FC averaged 1.67 goals scored and 0.6 conceded. Ekhaya averaged 1.28 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. In past meetings, Mighty Wanderers FC won 2, Ekhaya won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 20, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Mighty Wanderers FC and 1.19 for Ekhaya. This points to a Mighty Wanderers FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Mighty Wanderers FC
25%
Draws
26%
Ekhaya
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Mighty Wanderers FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Mighty Wanderers FC picked up more points recently compared to Ekhaya.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
Over 3.5 Goals 24%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%
Mighty Wanderers FC Clean Sheet 20%
Ekhaya Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 63%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mighty Wanderers FC Ekhaya
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 11
Draws 9 4
Losses 4 14
Goals Scored 1.67 1.28
Goals Conceded 0.6 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Super League
Mighty Wanderers FC vs Ekhaya
1:1
Dec 7, 2025 Super League
Mighty Wanderers FC vs Ekhaya
1:0
Jul 13, 2025 Super League
Ekhaya vs Mighty Wanderers FC
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mighty Wanderers FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Kamwendo P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Ekhaya Compare

Top Goalscorer Malinda B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mighty Wanderers FC 48 / 100
Ekhaya 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mighty Wanderers FC Ekhaya

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Mighty Wanderers FC or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19.6%
2.44
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +17.6%
2.94
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Mighty Wanderers FC attacking → ← attacking Ekhaya

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mighty Wanderers FC scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Ekhaya let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.33 goals.

Mighty Wanderers FC went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Ekhaya lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

60 Points in last 5 37
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Blue Eagles961214:819
2Big Bullets954012:619
3Mighty Wanderers FC953118:618
4Silver Strikers953114:318
5Ekhaya943212:615
6Red Lions94328:615
7Masters FC950411:1015
8Moyale Barracks93338:1012
9Mitundu Baptist93248:1011
10Civo Utd93246:911
11Chitipa United93156:1210
12MAFCO92347:89
13Karonga United92349:149
14Dedza Dynamos92255:158
15Creck Sporting91266:135
16Kamuzu Barracks91177:154