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Mighty Wanderers FC vs Karonga United

Malawi Malawi

Super League
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Match Events

15' Event
Kaliati I.
22' Event
Mithi L.
34' Event
Benson N.

AI Match Summary

Mighty Wanderers FC in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mighty Wanderers FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Mighty Wanderers FC
6%
Draws
4%
Karonga United
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Mighty Wanderers FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Mighty Wanderers FC have won more games recently than Karonga United.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Mighty Wanderers FC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Mighty Wanderers FC Clean Sheet 68%
Karonga United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mighty Wanderers FC Karonga United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 10
Draws 10 7
Losses 4 13
Goals Scored 1.88 1
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2026 Super League
Mighty Wanderers FC vs Karonga United
4:1
Dec 11, 2025 Super League
Mighty Wanderers FC vs Karonga United
2:0
Jun 29, 2025 Super League
Karonga United vs Mighty Wanderers FC
1:1
Oct 20, 2024 Super League
Karonga United vs Mighty Wanderers FC
1:0
May 11, 2024 Super League
Mighty Wanderers FC vs Karonga United
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mighty Wanderers FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Mithi L.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Kaliati I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Karonga United Compare

Top Goalscorer Benson N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mighty Wanderers FC 95 / 100
Karonga United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mighty Wanderers FC Karonga United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MIG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mighty Wanderers FC scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Mighty Wanderers FC went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Karonga United let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Mighty Wanderers FC VS Karonga United
1.88 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Blue Eagles961214:819
2Big Bullets954012:619
3Mighty Wanderers FC953118:618
4Silver Strikers953114:318
5Ekhaya943212:615
6Red Lions94328:615
7Masters FC950411:1015
8Moyale Barracks93338:1012
9Mitundu Baptist93248:1011
10Civo Utd93246:911
11Chitipa United93156:1210
12MAFCO92347:89
13Karonga United92349:149
14Dedza Dynamos92255:158
15Creck Sporting91266:135
16Kamuzu Barracks91177:154