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Migjorn vs Felanitx - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Huescar R.
37' Event
Roig Galmes J.
73' Event
Melia Barber M.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Felanitx in this Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Felanitx.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Migjorn
15%
Draws
42%
Felanitx
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Migjorn

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Felanitx have won more games recently than Migjorn.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Migjorn taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Migjorn Clean Sheet 13%
Felanitx Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Migjorn Felanitx
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 3 5
Draws 3 9
Losses 23 17
Goals Scored 0.69 0.84
Goals Conceded 2.62 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.15 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Migjorn vs Felanitx
1:2
Oct 26, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Felanitx vs Migjorn
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Migjorn Compare

Top Goalscorer Huescar R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.88
Avg xA / game 0.57

Felanitx Compare

Top Goalscorer Roig Galmes J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Migjorn 75 / 100
Felanitx 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Migjorn Felanitx

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Migjorn Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Felanitx conceded in 87% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Felanitx registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Migjorn scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Migjorn VS Felanitx
0.67 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Migjorn

(Home)
03 Oct
Platges de Calvia
3 : 1
Migjorn
27 Sept
Migjorn
1 : 0
Binissalem
19 Sept
Manacor
5 : 1
Migjorn
12 Sept
Migjorn
1 : 3
SD Ibiza
06 Sept
PE Sant Jordi
1 : 0
Migjorn
Page 1 of 6

Felanitx

(Away)
10 May
Felanitx
2 : 1
Santanyi
03 May
CD Son Cladera
4 : 3
Felanitx
26 Apr
Felanitx
0 : 2
Alcudia
22 Apr
Felanitx
0 : 3
Platges de Calvia
19 Apr
Mallorca B
8 : 1
Felanitx
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Poblense 34 22 6 6 47:17 72
2 Constancia 34 18 13 3 55:31 67
3 Formentera 34 19 9 6 68:34 66
4 Porreres 34 17 11 6 51:32 62
5 Penya Independent 34 17 7 10 59:34 58
6 Platges de Calvia 34 14 12 8 51:37 54
7 Manacor 34 13 12 9 54:36 51
8 Alcudia 34 13 8 13 51:53 47
9 Binissalem 34 13 8 13 35:34 47
10 Llosetense 34 12 8 14 47:45 44
11 Santanyi 34 10 13 11 40:45 43
12 Mercadal 34 10 10 14 40:43 40
13 Felanitx 34 10 10 14 33:50 40
14 Collerense 34 9 12 13 42:48 39
15 Portmany 34 8 13 13 43:51 37
16 PE Sant Jordi 34 8 6 20 30:52 30
17 Campos 34 4 8 22 31:75 20
18 Migjorn 34 4 4 26 22:82 16
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2024/2025 (Play Offs)