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Migjorn vs Llosetense

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Nicolau T.
43' Event
Bestard D.
56' Event
Mestre J. S.

AI Match Summary

Llosetense in this Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Llosetense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Migjorn
20%
Draws
80%
Llosetense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Llosetense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Migjorn haven't matched Llosetense's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Llosetense a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Migjorn Clean Sheet 10%
Llosetense Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Migjorn Llosetense
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 4 13
Draws 3 9
Losses 22 9
Goals Scored 0.79 1.77
Goals Conceded 2.55 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Migjorn vs Llosetense
0:3
Nov 30, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Llosetense vs Migjorn
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Migjorn Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Llosetense Compare

Top Goalscorer Nicolau T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bestard D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Migjorn 10 / 100
Llosetense 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Migjorn Llosetense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Llosetense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Llosetense let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Migjorn's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Llosetense's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Migjorn VS Llosetense
0.5 Goals Scored 2
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Migjorn

(Home)
19 Sept
Manacor
5 : 1
Migjorn
12 Sept
Migjorn
1 : 3
SD Ibiza
06 Sept
PE Sant Jordi
1 : 0
Migjorn
11 May
Migjorn
1 : 3
Porreres
03 May
Binissalem
2 : 0
Migjorn
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Llosetense

(Away)
19 Sept
Llosetense
0 : 0
Formentera
12 Sept
Andratx
1 : 0
Llosetense
05 Sept
Llosetense
2 : 0
Sineu
23 May
Manacor
2 : 1
Llosetense
17 May
Llosetense
1 : 1
Manacor
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Poblense 34 22 6 6 47:17 72
2 Constancia 34 18 13 3 55:31 67
3 Formentera 34 19 9 6 68:34 66
4 Porreres 34 17 11 6 51:32 62
5 Penya Independent 34 17 7 10 59:34 58
6 Platges de Calvia 34 14 12 8 51:37 54
7 Manacor 34 13 12 9 54:36 51
8 Alcudia 34 13 8 13 51:53 47
9 Binissalem 34 13 8 13 35:34 47
10 Llosetense 34 12 8 14 47:45 44
11 Santanyi 34 10 13 11 40:45 43
12 Mercadal 34 10 10 14 40:43 40
13 Felanitx 34 10 10 14 33:50 40
14 Collerense 34 9 12 13 42:48 39
15 Portmany 34 8 13 13 43:51 37
16 PE Sant Jordi 34 8 6 20 30:52 30
17 Campos 34 4 8 22 31:75 20
18 Migjorn 34 4 4 26 22:82 16
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2024/2025 (Play Offs)