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Migori vs Police FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kenya Kenya

Premier League
Migori Logo

Migori

1 - 1
FT
Police FC Logo

Police FC

Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
45' Event
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Migori and Police FC finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Migori
35%
Draws
21%
Police FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Migori

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Migori carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Migori's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Migori Clean Sheet 20%
Police FC Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Migori Police FC
Matches Played 23 26
Wins 16 10
Draws 4 12
Losses 3 4
Goals Scored 1.65 1
Goals Conceded 0.65 0.65
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Migori 42 / 100
Police FC 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Migori Police FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Migori has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Migori scored in 78% of their last 23 games.

Police FC let in goals in 54% of their last 26 matches.

Difficult form: Police FC registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Migori VS Police FC
0.75 Goals Scored 0.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
38% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Migori

(Home)
13 Jun
3K FC
1 : 1
Migori
07 Jun
Migori
2 : 1
Equity Bank
01 Jun
Kisumu All-Stars
0 : 1
Migori
27 May
Migori
2 : 1
MCF
23 May
Migori
1 : 0
Kibera
Page 1 of 5

Police FC

(Away)
14 Jun
Tusker
2 : 1
Police FC
31 May
Police FC
1 : 1
Kakamega Homeboyz
27 May
Police FC
1 : 1
Kariobangi Sharks
24 May
Nairobi United
0 : 0
Police FC
16 May
Police FC
1 : 0
Bandari
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shabana 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
2 Mathare United 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
3 APS Bomet 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
4 Ulinzi Stars 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Tusker 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Mahia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Leopards 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 KCB 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Bandari 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Kakamega Homeboyz 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Police FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Migori 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Muranga 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Mombasa United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Mara Sugar 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Nairobi United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
17 3K FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
18 Posta Rangers 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)