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Miguelense vs Zumbi

Brazil Brazil

Alagoano 2
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
da Silva F.

AI Match Summary

Zumbi in this Alagoano 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zumbi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Miguelense
33%
Draws
40%
Zumbi
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Zumbi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Zumbi have won more games recently than Miguelense.
  • Win probability leans Zumbi's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Alagoano 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Zumbi have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Miguelense Clean Sheet 10%
Zumbi Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Miguelense Zumbi
Matches Played 33 34
Wins 7 18
Draws 3 8
Losses 23 8
Goals Scored 1.13 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.63 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Alagoano 2
Miguelense vs Zumbi
0:1
Mar 8, 2026 Copa Alagoas
Miguelense vs Zumbi
1:3
Aug 23, 2025 Alagoano 2
Zumbi vs Miguelense
2:0
Sep 15, 2024 Alagoano 2
Miguelense vs Zumbi
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Miguelense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Zumbi Compare

Top Goalscorer da Silva F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Miguelense 26 / 100
Zumbi 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Miguelense Zumbi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZUM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Miguelense scored in 48% of their last 33 games.

Defensive concern: Zumbi conceded in 44% of 34 recent games.

Recent resilience: Miguelense stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Miguelense VS Zumbi
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
2.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Miguelense

(Home)
17 May
Sporting FC
2 : 0
Miguelense
10 May
Miguelense
0 : 3
Sporting FC
02 May
Miguelense
0 : 1
Zumbi
25 Apr
Jacioba
0 : 1
Miguelense
22 Apr
Miguelense
4 : 0
Sao Domingos AL
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Zumbi

(Away)
31 May
Sporting FC
2 : 2
Zumbi
24 May
Zumbi
0 : 2
Sporting FC
17 May
Zumbi
1 : 0
Alianca
10 May
Alianca
0 : 0
Zumbi
02 May
Miguelense
0 : 1
Zumbi
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zumbi54108:113
2Sporting FC540114:312
3Miguelense53028:69
4Alianca521218:117
5Jacioba50140:131
6Sao Domingos AL50142:161
Promotion - Alagoano 2 (Play Offs)