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Miguelturreno vs UD Almansa

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Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

UD Almansa in this Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored UD Almansa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Miguelturreno
15%
Draws
37%
UD Almansa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Miguelturreno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Miguelturreno haven't matched UD Almansa's recent run of results.
  • UD Almansa are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Miguelturreno Clean Sheet 10%
UD Almansa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Miguelturreno UD Almansa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 10
Draws 4 6
Losses 20 14
Goals Scored 0.97 1.33
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.77 2.54
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Miguelturreno vs UD Almansa
0:4
Oct 10, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
UD Almansa vs Miguelturreno
1:1
May 12, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
UD Almansa vs Miguelturreno
2:1
Dec 17, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Miguelturreno vs UD Almansa
3:3
Mar 9, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Miguelturreno vs UD Almansa
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Miguelturreno 10 / 100
UD Almansa 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Miguelturreno UD Almansa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UD Almansa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

UD Almansa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Miguelturreno went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Miguelturreno scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Miguelturreno VS UD Almansa
1.67 Goals Scored 1.75
3.33 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
67% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Miguelturreno

(Home)
01 May
Miguelturreno
2 : 1
CD Tarancon
24 Apr
Huracan de Balazote
2 : 3
Miguelturreno
10 Apr
Miguelturreno
3 : 2
San Clemente
03 Apr
Azuqueca
5 : 1
Miguelturreno
27 Mar
Miguelturreno
1 : 7
Quintanar del Rey
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UD Almansa

(Away)
04 Oct
Manchego Ciudad Real
1 : 0
UD Almansa
27 Sept
UD Almansa
3 : 1
Huracan de Balazote
19 Sept
Villacanas
0 : 0
UD Almansa
13 Sept
UD Almansa
3 : 0
La Solana
05 Sept
Noblejas
3 : 2
UD Almansa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guadalajara 34 23 8 3 71:19 77
2 Quintanar del Rey 34 21 7 6 63:29 70
3 Illescas 34 20 7 7 56:33 67
4 Villarrobledo 34 18 10 6 53:25 64
5 Torrijos 34 17 9 8 50:30 60
6 Conquense 34 15 11 8 49:30 56
7 Villarrubia 34 16 7 11 45:38 55
8 Azuqueca 34 16 6 12 55:40 54
9 Manchego Ciudad Real 34 15 9 10 50:26 54
10 CD Tarancon 34 16 3 15 46:45 51
11 Villacanas 34 13 7 14 47:51 46
12 Albacete B 34 11 11 12 47:40 44
13 UD Almansa 34 12 7 15 44:51 43
14 Huracan de Balazote 34 10 7 17 52:56 37
15 San Clemente 34 10 6 18 30:50 36
16 Miguelturreno 34 7 4 23 35:67 25
17 Hogar Alcarreno 34 4 5 25 29:90 17
18 La Roda 34 0 0 34 0:102 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2021/2022 (Play Offs)