Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mijas Las Lagunas vs Ciudad de Lucena - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Moro Gonzalez A.
68' Event
Galvez R.
(Penalty)
72'
Leal F.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Segunda RFEF - Group 4 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Mijas Las Lagunas
35%
Draws
37%
Ciudad de Lucena
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ciudad de Lucena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ciudad de Lucena lately — more wins on the board than Mijas Las Lagunas.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Mijas Las Lagunas Clean Sheet 68%
Ciudad de Lucena Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mijas Las Lagunas Ciudad de Lucena
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 19
Draws 10 5
Losses 5 4
Goals Scored 1.5 2.04
Goals Conceded 0.96 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Mijas Las Lagunas vs Ciudad de Lucena
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mijas Las Lagunas Compare

Top Goalscorer Moro Gonzalez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Ciudad de Lucena Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mijas Las Lagunas 41 / 100
Ciudad de Lucena 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mijas Las Lagunas Ciudad de Lucena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mijas Las Lagunas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mijas Las Lagunas's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Mijas Las Lagunas has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Ciudad de Lucena conceded in 43% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Mijas Las Lagunas VS Ciudad de Lucena
2.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mijas Las Lagunas

(Home)
04 Oct
Sanluqueno
2 : 2
Mijas Las Lagunas
27 Sept
Mijas Las Lagunas
6 : 2
Tamaraceite
20 Sept
Antoniano
1 : 1
Mijas Las Lagunas
13 Sept
Mijas Las Lagunas
1 : 1
Ciudad de Lucena
06 Sept
Puente Genil
4 : 0
Mijas Las Lagunas
Page 1 of 6

Ciudad de Lucena

(Away)
04 Oct
Ciudad de Lucena
1 : 0
Puente Genil
27 Sept
Antoniano
0 : 3
Ciudad de Lucena
20 Sept
Ciudad de Lucena
1 : 2
Tenerife B
13 Sept
Mijas Las Lagunas
1 : 1
Ciudad de Lucena
06 Sept
Linares
1 : 1
Ciudad de Lucena
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Betis B 6 4 2 0 9:1 14
2 Recreativo Huelva 5 4 0 1 10:4 12
3 Don Benito 5 3 1 1 7:4 10
4 Tenerife B 5 3 0 2 9:7 9
5 Ciudad de Lucena 5 2 2 1 7:4 8
6 Sevilla B 5 2 2 1 8:6 8
7 CD Badajoz 5 2 2 1 6:5 8
8 CD Estepona 5 2 1 2 7:7 7
9 Linares 5 2 1 2 6:7 7
10 Mijas Las Lagunas 5 1 3 1 10:10 6
11 Sanluqueno 5 1 3 1 7:7 6
12 Xerez CD 6 1 3 2 4:5 6
13 Atletico Central 5 2 0 3 6:8 6
14 Marbella 5 1 2 2 6:8 5
15 Puente Genil 5 1 1 3 5:5 4
16 Las Palmas B 5 1 1 3 1:8 4
17 Tamaraceite 5 1 0 4 4:11 3
18 Antoniano 5 0 2 3 2:7 2
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)