Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mijas Las Lagunas vs Torre del Mar

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Caballero A.
19' Event
Fernandez A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 9 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Mijas Las Lagunas
6%
Draws
4%
Torre del Mar
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Mijas Las Lagunas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mijas Las Lagunas lately — more wins on the board than Torre del Mar.
  • Model gives Mijas Las Lagunas a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Mijas Las Lagunas Clean Sheet 68%
Torre del Mar Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mijas Las Lagunas Torre del Mar
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 17 12
Draws 8 12
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 1.38 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Mijas Las Lagunas vs Torre del Mar
1:1
Oct 5, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Torre del Mar vs Mijas Las Lagunas
1:0
Feb 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Torre del Mar vs Mijas Las Lagunas
2:3
Oct 13, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Mijas Las Lagunas vs Torre del Mar
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mijas Las Lagunas Compare

Top Goalscorer Caballero A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Torre del Mar Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mijas Las Lagunas 95 / 100
Torre del Mar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mijas Las Lagunas Torre del Mar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MIJ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mijas Las Lagunas has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Mijas Las Lagunas found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Torre del Mar's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Mijas Las Lagunas VS Torre del Mar
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mijas Las Lagunas

(Home)
10 May
Granada CF B
4 : 4
Mijas Las Lagunas
03 May
Mijas Las Lagunas
3 : 0
Huetor Vega
26 Apr
Huetor Tajar
0 : 1
Mijas Las Lagunas
19 Apr
Mijas Las Lagunas
4 : 1
Melilla B
12 Apr
Martos
0 : 0
Mijas Las Lagunas
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Torre del Mar

(Away)
24 May
Torre del Mar
0 : 1
Arenas Armilla
17 May
Arenas Armilla
1 : 0
Torre del Mar
10 May
Torre del Mar
1 : 2
CD Torreperogil
03 May
Atletico de Porcuna
1 : 0
Torre del Mar
26 Apr
Torre del Mar
2 : 1
Motril
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mijas Las Lagunas34199646:2466
2Motril341811555:2965
3Torre del Mar341413737:2655
4Arenas Armilla341591038:2954
5Churriana de la Vega3414101032:4052
6Marbelli341491136:2851
7Ciudad de Torredonjimeno3413111039:3850
8UD San Pedro3413101139:3749
9Atletico de Porcuna341441641:3946
10Huetor Vega341291343:4245
11Granada CF B3410141049:4744
12CD Alhaurino3411101341:4143
13Melilla B349121330:3239
14Mancha349101530:3837
15Huetor Tajar349101540:4437
16Martos349101532:4837
17CD Torreperogil34961924:4533
18El Palo34691928:5327
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 (Play Offs)