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Mikkelin vs Haka

Finland Finland

Ykkosliiga Mikkelin Urheilupuisto
Sun, Jul 5, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mikkelin play Haka in the Ykkosliiga. It looks like a close match. Recently, Mikkelin averaged 1.48 goals scored and 1.52 conceded. Haka averaged 1.83 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Mikkelin won 1, Haka won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 2, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Mikkelin and 1.56 for Haka. This points to a Haka double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Mikkelin
16%
Draws
50%
Haka
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Haka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Mikkelin picked up more points recently compared to Haka.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
Mikkelin Clean Sheet 15%
Haka Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mikkelin Haka
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 15
Draws 6 8
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.48 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.52 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Ykkosliiga
Mikkelin vs Haka
1:0
Jun 16, 2020 Suomen Cup
Mikkelin vs Haka
1:3
Mar 7, 2017 Suomen Cup
Haka vs Mikkelin
5:0
Oct 1, 2015 Ykkosliiga
Haka vs Mikkelin
2:0
Aug 2, 2015 Ykkosliiga
Mikkelin vs Haka
3:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mikkelin 34 / 100
Haka 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mikkelin Haka

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Haka or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +30.9%
3.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.3%
2.08
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Mikkelin attacking → ← attacking Haka

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mikkelin scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Haka let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Mikkelin went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Haka lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 53
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1KTP1291218:1028
2PK-351273218:724
3Haka1263320:1221
4Jippo1255214:720
5Ekenas IF1251620:2316
6JaPS1251611:1916
7KaPa1243514:1715
8Mikkelin1241710:1413
9Klubi 041215610:148
10SJK Akatemia121384:166