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Milazzo vs A.C. Savoia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Giunta F.

AI Match Summary

Milazzo in this Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Milazzo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Milazzo
35%
Draws
20%
A.C. Savoia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Milazzo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • A.C. Savoia have won more games recently than Milazzo.
  • Win probability leans Milazzo's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Milazzo Clean Sheet 17%
A.C. Savoia Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Milazzo A.C. Savoia
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 14
Draws 5 9
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 0.83 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Milazzo vs A.C. Savoia
1:0
Nov 9, 2025 Serie D - Group I
A.C. Savoia vs Milazzo
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Milazzo Compare

Top Goalscorer Giunta F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

A.C. Savoia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Milazzo 39 / 100
A.C. Savoia 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Milazzo A.C. Savoia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Milazzo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

A.C. Savoia has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Milazzo remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Milazzo's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Milazzo VS A.C. Savoia
0.71 Goals Scored 1.63
1.14 Goals Conceded 1.63
43% Over 1.5 100%
43% Over 2.5 75%
14% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Milazzo

(Home)
04 Oct
Milazzo
1 : 0
Siracusa
27 Sept
Athletic Palermo
3 : 0
Milazzo
20 Sept
Milazzo
0 : 1
Sambiase
16 Sept
Enna
0 : 1
Milazzo
13 Sept
Milazzo
3 : 1
USD Ragusa
Page 1 of 6

A.C. Savoia

(Away)
03 Oct
Monopoli
0 : 0
A.C. Savoia
26 Sept
Cavese
4 : 2
A.C. Savoia
19 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1
Casarano
15 Sept
Foggia
0 : 0
A.C. Savoia
12 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1
Crotone
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 A.C. Savoia 34 20 9 5 63:29 69
2 Nissa 34 19 10 5 51:27 67
3 Reggina 34 20 6 8 44:23 66
4 Athletic Palermo 34 18 6 10 59:47 60
5 Gelbison 34 17 9 8 44:32 60
6 Sambiase 34 14 11 9 38:30 53
7 Igea Virtus 34 15 13 6 49:36 53
8 Milazzo 34 12 8 14 31:36 44
9 Gela 34 13 5 16 41:44 43
10 Lamezia 34 11 9 14 43:35 42
11 Castrumfavara 34 10 8 16 38:47 38
12 Enna 34 8 12 14 50:53 36
13 Vibonese 34 8 11 15 32:47 35
14 USD Ragusa 34 7 13 14 23:34 34
15 ACR Messina 34 11 13 10 28:33 32
16 AS Acireale 34 7 12 15 37:50 32
17 Sancataldese 34 7 8 19 31:49 29
18 Paterno 34 4 7 23 22:72 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Out)