Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Milazzo vs USD Ragusa

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Golfo F.

AI Match Summary

USD Ragusa in this Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored USD Ragusa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Milazzo
30%
Draws
35%
USD Ragusa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Milazzo lately — more wins on the board than USD Ragusa.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Milazzo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Milazzo have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Milazzo Clean Sheet 68%
USD Ragusa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Milazzo USD Ragusa
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 5 11
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 0.86 0.93
Goals Conceded 1 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Milazzo vs USD Ragusa
3:1
Mar 1, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Milazzo vs USD Ragusa
0:1
Oct 26, 2025 Serie D - Group I
USD Ragusa vs Milazzo
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Milazzo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

USD Ragusa Compare

Top Goalscorer Golfo F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Milazzo 51 / 100
USD Ragusa 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Milazzo USD Ragusa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Milazzo scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.

USD Ragusa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Milazzo stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Milazzo VS USD Ragusa
0.63 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Milazzo

(Home)
13 Sept
Milazzo
3 : 1
USD Ragusa
06 Sept
Castrumfavara
3 : 0
Milazzo
03 May
ACR Messina
1 : 0
Milazzo
26 Apr
Milazzo
1 : 2
Reggina
19 Apr
Milazzo
0 : 1
Sambiase
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USD Ragusa

(Away)
13 Sept
Milazzo
3 : 1
USD Ragusa
06 Sept
USD Ragusa
2 : 2
ASD Modica Calcio
10 May
USD Ragusa
0 : 0
ACR Messina
03 May
USD Ragusa
1 : 2
Athletic Palermo
26 Apr
AS Acireale
0 : 0
USD Ragusa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 A.C. Savoia 34 20 9 5 63:29 69
2 Nissa 34 19 10 5 51:27 67
3 Reggina 34 20 6 8 44:23 66
4 Athletic Palermo 34 18 6 10 59:47 60
5 Gelbison 34 17 9 8 44:32 60
6 Sambiase 34 14 11 9 38:30 53
7 Igea Virtus 34 15 13 6 49:36 53
8 Milazzo 34 12 8 14 31:36 44
9 Gela 34 13 5 16 41:44 43
10 Lamezia 34 11 9 14 43:35 42
11 Castrumfavara 34 10 8 16 38:47 38
12 Enna 34 8 12 14 50:53 36
13 Vibonese 34 8 11 15 32:47 35
14 USD Ragusa 34 7 13 14 23:34 34
15 ACR Messina 34 11 13 10 28:33 32
16 AS Acireale 34 7 12 15 37:50 32
17 Sancataldese 34 7 8 19 31:49 29
18 Paterno 34 4 7 23 22:72 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Out)