Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Milazzo vs Vibonese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Runza E.
29' Event
Cassaro R.
36' Event
Galesio L.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I game between Milazzo and Vibonese finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Milazzo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Milazzo
30%
Draws
58%
Vibonese
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vibonese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Milazzo come out ahead of Vibonese on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Vibonese's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Milazzo Clean Sheet 20%
Vibonese Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Milazzo Vibonese
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 6 8
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 0.9 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Milazzo vs Vibonese
4:0
Oct 12, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Vibonese vs Milazzo
3:1
Apr 1, 2012 Lega Pro C2/B
Milazzo vs Vibonese
1:1
Nov 13, 2011 Lega Pro C2/B
Vibonese vs Milazzo
1:0
Mar 27, 2011 Serie C2/C
Vibonese vs Milazzo
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Milazzo Compare

Top Goalscorer Runza E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cassaro R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Vibonese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Milazzo 24 / 100
Vibonese 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Milazzo Vibonese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Milazzo scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Vibonese conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Milazzo remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Milazzo VS Vibonese
0.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Milazzo

(Home)
03 May
ACR Messina
1 : 0
Milazzo
26 Apr
Milazzo
1 : 2
Reggina
19 Apr
Milazzo
0 : 1
Sambiase
15 Apr
Milazzo
0 : 0
Lamezia
12 Apr
Paterno
0 : 0
Milazzo
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Vibonese

(Away)
03 Aug
Monopoli
0 : 1
Vibonese
10 May
Vibonese
1 : 0
AS Acireale
03 May
Vibonese
1 : 0
AS Acireale
26 Apr
Gela
1 : 1
Vibonese
22 Apr
Igea Virtus
2 : 1
Vibonese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 A.C. Savoia 34 20 9 5 63:29 69
2 Nissa 34 19 10 5 51:27 67
3 Reggina 34 20 6 8 44:23 66
4 Athletic Palermo 34 18 6 10 59:47 60
5 Gelbison 34 17 9 8 44:32 60
6 Sambiase 34 14 11 9 38:30 53
7 Igea Virtus 34 15 13 6 49:36 53
8 Milazzo 34 12 8 14 31:36 44
9 Gela 34 13 5 16 41:44 43
10 Lamezia 34 11 9 14 43:35 42
11 Castrumfavara 34 10 8 16 38:47 38
12 Enna 34 8 12 14 50:53 36
13 Vibonese 34 8 11 15 32:47 35
14 USD Ragusa 34 7 13 14 23:34 34
15 ACR Messina 34 11 13 10 28:33 32
16 AS Acireale 34 7 12 15 37:50 32
17 Sancataldese 34 7 8 19 31:49 29
18 Paterno 34 4 7 23 22:72 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group I (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I (Play Out)