Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Milazzo vs Vibonese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Runza E.
29' Event
Cassaro R.
36' Event
Galesio L.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 game between Milazzo and Vibonese finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Milazzo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Milazzo
15%
Draws
45%
Vibonese
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vibonese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Milazzo come out ahead of Vibonese on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Vibonese's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Milazzo Clean Sheet 14%
Vibonese Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Milazzo Vibonese
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 5 7
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 0.83 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Milazzo vs Vibonese
4:0
Oct 12, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Vibonese vs Milazzo
3:1
Apr 1, 2012 Lega Pro C2/B
Milazzo vs Vibonese
1:1
Nov 13, 2011 Lega Pro C2/B
Vibonese vs Milazzo
1:0
Mar 27, 2011 Serie C2/C
Vibonese vs Milazzo
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Milazzo Compare

Top Goalscorer Runza E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cassaro R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Vibonese Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Milazzo 23 / 100
Vibonese 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Milazzo Vibonese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vibonese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Milazzo remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Milazzo found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Vibonese conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Milazzo VS Vibonese
0.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Milazzo

(Home)
04 Oct
Milazzo
1 : 0
Siracusa
27 Sept
Athletic Palermo
3 : 0
Milazzo
20 Sept
Milazzo
0 : 1
Sambiase
16 Sept
Enna
0 : 1
Milazzo
13 Sept
Milazzo
3 : 1
USD Ragusa
Page 1 of 6

Vibonese

(Away)
04 Oct
Vibonese
2 : 0
Digiesse PraiaTortora
27 Sept
Nissa
0 : 2
Vibonese
20 Sept
Vibonese
3 : 0
Athletic Palermo
16 Sept
Igea Virtus
4 : 3
Vibonese
12 Sept
Vibonese
1 : 1
Siracusa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 A.C. Savoia 34 20 9 5 63:29 69
2 Nissa 34 19 10 5 51:27 67
3 Reggina 34 20 6 8 44:23 66
4 Athletic Palermo 34 18 6 10 59:47 60
5 Gelbison 34 17 9 8 44:32 60
6 Sambiase 34 14 11 9 38:30 53
7 Igea Virtus 34 15 13 6 49:36 53
8 Milazzo 34 12 8 14 31:36 44
9 Gela 34 13 5 16 41:44 43
10 Lamezia 34 11 9 14 43:35 42
11 Castrumfavara 34 10 8 16 38:47 38
12 Enna 34 8 12 14 50:53 36
13 Vibonese 34 8 11 15 32:47 35
14 USD Ragusa 34 7 13 14 23:34 34
15 ACR Messina 34 11 13 10 28:33 32
16 AS Acireale 34 7 12 15 37:50 32
17 Sancataldese 34 7 8 19 31:49 29
18 Paterno 34 4 7 23 22:72 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Out)