Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Millonarios vs Chico

Colombia Colombia

Copa Colombia Estadio El Campín, Bogotá
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Hurtado J.
25' Event
Molina J.
58' Event
Victoria Palacios D. S.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-2. The second leg ended 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Millonarios
35%
Draws
37%
Chico
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Chico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Millonarios come out ahead of Chico on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Millonarios have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Millonarios, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Millonarios Clean Sheet 20%
Chico Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Millonarios Chico
Matches Played 36 28
Wins 16 8
Draws 10 5
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.69 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Copa Colombia
Millonarios vs Chico
2:2
Mar 14, 2026 Primera A
Chico vs Millonarios
2:1
Nov 13, 2025 Primera A
Chico vs Millonarios
1:2
May 25, 2025 Primera A
Millonarios vs Chico
4:2
Nov 15, 2024 Primera A
Chico vs Millonarios
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Millonarios Compare

Top Goalscorer Hurtado J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Victoria Palacios D. S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Chico Compare

Top Goalscorer Molina J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Salazar S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Millonarios 32 / 100
Chico 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Millonarios Chico

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Millonarios scored in 81% of their last 36 games.

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Chico conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Millonarios stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Millonarios VS Chico
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Millonarios

(Home)
14 Sept
Cucuta
1 : 2
Millonarios
11 Sept
Millonarios
1 : 1
Dep. Cali
06 Sept
Dep. Pereira
1 : 1
Millonarios
03 Sept
Santa Fe
3 : 2
Millonarios
30 Aug
Millonarios
0 : 0
Inter Bogotá
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Chico

(Away)
16 Sept
Chico
1 : 2
Alianza
12 Sept
Chico
2 : 1
Ind. Medellin
05 Sept
Chico
2 : 0
Once Caldas
30 Aug
Aguilas Doradas
2 : 2
Chico
26 Aug
Chico
0 : 0
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dep. Cali 4 4 0 0 10:2 12
2 Alianza 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
3 Boca Juniors de Cali 4 2 1 1 8:8 7
4 Bucaramanga 4 1 0 3 8:7 3
5 Real Santander 4 0 0 4 1:13 0
Promotion - Copa Colombia (First stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Millonarios 4 3 1 0 14:5 10
2 Llaneros 4 3 0 1 7:2 9
3 Chico 4 1 2 1 6:3 5
4 Patriotas 4 0 2 2 4:7 2
5 Atletico F.C. 4 0 1 3 2:16 1
Promotion - Copa Colombia (First stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ind. Medellin 4 2 2 0 5:3 8
2 Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 4 1 2 1 5:3 5
3 Leones 4 1 2 1 4:5 5
4 Cucuta 4 0 3 1 2:3 3
5 Orsomarso 4 0 3 1 3:5 3
Promotion - Copa Colombia (First stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dep. Pereira 4 2 2 0 4:2 8
2 Real Cundinamarca 4 2 1 1 6:4 7
3 Aguilas Doradas 4 1 3 0 7:4 6
4 Jaguares de Cordoba 4 1 1 2 4:3 4
5 Independiente Valle del Cauca 4 0 1 3 2:10 1
Promotion - Copa Colombia (First stage - Play Offs)