Sport Picks
Match Events
1'
1'
Hurtado J.
25'
25'
Molina J.
58'
58'
Victoria Palacios D. S.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-2. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
20%
38%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Millonarios
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
67%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Millonarios come out ahead of Chico on wins alone.
- Millonarios are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- Millonarios have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Millonarios, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Millonarios Clean Sheet 18%
Chico Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Millonarios | Chico |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 7 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 9 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 1.29 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 0.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 0.43 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 23, 2026 Copa Colombia
Millonarios vs Chico
2:2
Mar 14, 2026 Primera A
Chico vs Millonarios
2:1
Nov 13, 2025 Primera A
Chico vs Millonarios
1:2
May 25, 2025 Primera A
Millonarios vs Chico
4:2
Nov 15, 2024 Primera A
Chico vs Millonarios
1:5
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Millonarios Compare
Top Goalscorer Hurtado J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Victoria Palacios D. S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Chico Compare
Top Goalscorer Molina J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Salazar S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.72
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Millonarios 41 / 100
Chico 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Millonarios Chico
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.40 goals.
Millonarios found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).
Defensive concern: Chico conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.
Recent resilience: Millonarios stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Millonarios VS Chico
1.75 Goals Scored 1.29
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.43
75% Over 1.5 43%
63% Over 2.5 43%
50% Over 3.5 29%
Recent Form & Match History
Millonarios
(Home) 25 Jul
Millonarios
0 : 1 Bucaramanga
18 Jul
Millonarios
0 : 1 Colo Colo
11 Jul
Universitario de Deportes
2 : 0 Millonarios
30 May
Atletico F.C.
1 : 8 Millonarios
26 May
Millonarios
1 : 2 O Higgins
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Millonarios
0 : 1 Bucaramanga
18 Jul
Millonarios
0 : 1 Colo Colo
26 May
Millonarios
1 : 2 O Higgins
23 May
Millonarios
2 : 2 Chico
12 May
Millonarios
1 : 0 Llaneros
Page 1 of 3
Chico
(Away) 27 May
Chico
0 : 1 Llaneros
23 May
Millonarios
2 : 2 Chico
16 May
Chico
4 : 0 Atletico F.C.
07 May
Patriotas
0 : 0 Chico
02 May
Chico
3 : 0 Llaneros
Page 1 of 6
23 May
Millonarios
2 : 2 Chico
07 May
Patriotas
0 : 0 Chico
27 Apr
Inter Bogotá
4 : 0 Chico
22 Apr
Ind. Medellin
2 : 0 Chico
12 Apr
Bucaramanga
5 : 0 Chico
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dep. Cali | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:2 | 12 |
| 2 | Alianza | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Boca Juniors de Cali | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:8 | 7 |
| 4 | Bucaramanga | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8:7 | 3 |
| 5 | Real Santander | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:13 | 0 |
Promotion - Copa Colombia (First stage - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Millonarios | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14:5 | 10 |
| 2 | Llaneros | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:2 | 9 |
| 3 | Chico | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:3 | 5 |
| 4 | Patriotas | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:7 | 2 |
| 5 | Atletico F.C. | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:16 | 1 |
Promotion - Copa Colombia (First stage - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ind. Medellin | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 8 |
| 2 | Fortaleza C.E.I.F. | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:3 | 5 |
| 3 | Leones | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:5 | 5 |
| 4 | Cucuta | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 5 | Orsomarso | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3:5 | 3 |
Promotion - Copa Colombia (First stage - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dep. Pereira | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 8 |
| 2 | Real Cundinamarca | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 7 |
| 3 | Aguilas Doradas | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7:4 | 6 |
| 4 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 5 | Ind. Yumbo | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:10 | 1 |
Promotion - Copa Colombia (First stage - Play Offs)
