Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Millonarios vs Dep. Cali

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio El Campín, Bogotá
Our Tip

Match Events

33'
Ruiz D.
39' Event
Martinez J.
45'
Cuellar G.

AI Match Summary

The Primera A game between Millonarios and Dep. Cali finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Millonarios
35%
Draws
32%
Dep. Cali
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Dep. Cali carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Millonarios a 33% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Millonarios Clean Sheet 68%
Dep. Cali Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Millonarios Dep. Cali
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 13 14
Draws 10 8
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.63 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.16 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Primera A
Millonarios vs Dep. Cali
1:1
Feb 8, 2026 Primera A
Dep. Cali vs Millonarios
0:0
Aug 9, 2025 Primera A
Millonarios vs Dep. Cali
3:3
Feb 23, 2025 Primera A
Dep. Cali vs Millonarios
3:1
Oct 5, 2024 Primera A
Dep. Cali vs Millonarios
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Millonarios Compare

Top Goalscorer Chaverra F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Dep. Cali Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Millonarios 59 / 100
Dep. Cali 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Millonarios Dep. Cali

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Millonarios Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Millonarios scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

Dep. Cali let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Millonarios has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Millonarios VS Dep. Cali
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Millonarios

(Home)
19 Sept
Millonarios
3 : 0
Chico
14 Sept
Cucuta
1 : 2
Millonarios
11 Sept
Millonarios
1 : 1
Dep. Cali
06 Sept
Dep. Pereira
1 : 1
Millonarios
03 Sept
Santa Fe
3 : 2
Millonarios
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Dep. Cali

(Away)
19 Sept
Dep. Cali
3 : 0
Cucuta
13 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 2
Dep. Cali
11 Sept
Millonarios
1 : 1
Dep. Cali
08 Sept
Atl. Nacional
3 : 0
Dep. Cali
31 Aug
Dep. Cali
1 : 1
Bucaramanga
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America De Cali 10 6 3 1 21:6 21
2 Millonarios 11 5 4 2 15:8 19
3 Atl. Nacional 7 6 0 1 17:6 18
4 Bucaramanga 9 4 5 0 14:8 17
5 Deportes Tolima 10 5 2 3 13:11 17
6 Santa Fe 9 4 4 1 16:10 16
7 Ind. Medellin 8 5 1 2 15:10 16
8 Dep. Cali 9 4 3 2 14:8 15
9 Once Caldas 10 3 3 4 13:12 12
10 Aguilas Doradas 8 2 5 1 12:12 11
11 Llaneros 9 3 2 4 11:12 11
12 Inter Bogotá 11 2 5 4 13:17 11
13 Cucuta 10 2 3 5 9:18 9
14 Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 10 1 5 4 11:16 8
15 Dep. Pasto 10 2 2 6 9:15 8
16 Alianza 10 2 2 6 9:20 8
17 Chico 9 2 2 5 7:18 8
18 Jaguares de Cordoba 8 1 4 3 9:14 7
19 Dep. Pereira 8 1 4 3 6:11 7
20 Junior 8 1 3 4 12:14 6
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)