Sport Picks
Millonarios vs Dep. Pasto
Colombia
Primera A Estadio El Campín, Bogotá 
AI Match Summary
Millonarios host Dep. Pasto in the Primera A. Little to choose between these two on current form. Dep. Pasto have shipped 1.57 goals a game lately, while Millonarios have conceded 1.38 and scored 1.75. Head-to-head, Millonarios have won 3 to Dep. Pasto's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Jan 29, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.66 - 1.04) back Millonarios to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Dep. Pasto have managed 0.71 goals a game lately — Millonarios are scoring more at 1.75.
- Win probability leans Millonarios's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Primera A form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Millonarios | Dep. Pasto |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 14 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 0.71 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 0.71 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 1.57 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Away concern: Dep. Pasto has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.
Millonarios's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Dep. Pasto let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Millonarios
(Home)Dep. Pasto
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Once Caldas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 3 |
| 2 | America De Cali | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Dep. Cali | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 4 | Ind. Medellin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 5 | Deportes Tolima | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 6 | Aguilas Doradas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 7 | Bucaramanga | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 8 | Llaneros | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 9 | Alianza | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 10 | Fortaleza C.E.I.F. | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 11 | Chico | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 | Atl. Nacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 | Dep. Pasto | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 14 | Santa Fe | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 15 | Junior | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 16 | Millonarios | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 17 | Dep. Pereira | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 18 | Inter Bogotá | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 19 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 20 | Cucuta | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:5 | 0 |
