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Stadium Background

Millonarios W vs Indep. Santa Fe W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Liga Women Estadio El Campín, Bogotá
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Orozco N.
15'
Salazar L.
58'
Marcano T.

AI Match Summary

Millonarios W in this Liga Women matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Millonarios W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Millonarios W
35%
Draws
35%
Indep. Santa Fe W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Indep. Santa Fe W lately — more wins on the board than Millonarios W.
  • Millonarios W are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Liga Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Millonarios W Clean Sheet 68%
Indep. Santa Fe W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Millonarios W Indep. Santa Fe W
Matches Played 31 38
Wins 14 16
Draws 12 10
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 1.74 1.58
Goals Conceded 0.94 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Liga Women
Millonarios W vs Indep. Santa Fe W
1:2
Sep 18, 2026 Liga Women
Indep. Santa Fe W vs Millonarios W
2:2
Aug 4, 2026 Liga Women
Millonarios W vs Indep. Santa Fe W
1:0
May 3, 2026 Liga Women
Indep. Santa Fe W vs Millonarios W
0:0
Aug 24, 2025 Liga Women
Millonarios W vs Indep. Santa Fe W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Millonarios W Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomez L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Indep. Santa Fe W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Millonarios W 59 / 100
Indep. Santa Fe W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Millonarios W Indep. Santa Fe W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Millonarios W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Millonarios W's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Millonarios W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Indep. Santa Fe W let in goals in 58% of their last 38 matches.

Scoring Trends

Millonarios W VS Indep. Santa Fe W
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Millonarios W

(Home)
20 Sept
Millonarios W
1 : 2
Indep. Santa Fe W
18 Sept
Indep. Santa Fe W
2 : 2
Millonarios W
13 Sept
Inter Bogotá W
0 : 0
Millonarios W
09 Sept
Millonarios W
2 : 1
Atl. Nacional W
03 Sept
Inter Palmira W
2 : 2
Millonarios W
Page 1 of 7

Indep. Santa Fe W

(Away)
26 Sept
Dep. Cali W
4 : 2
Indep. Santa Fe W
24 Sept
Indep. Santa Fe W
2 : 3
Dep. Cali W
20 Sept
Millonarios W
1 : 2
Indep. Santa Fe W
18 Sept
Indep. Santa Fe W
2 : 2
Millonarios W
12 Sept
Orsomarso W
1 : 2
Indep. Santa Fe W
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Nacional W 16 13 0 3 34:9 39
2 Dep. Cali W 16 12 2 2 33:10 38
3 Millonarios W 16 10 5 1 32:8 35
4 America de Cali W 16 11 2 3 29:8 35
5 Inter Bogotá W 16 9 2 5 22:14 29
6 Indep. Santa Fe W 16 7 5 4 27:15 26
7 Inter Palmira W 16 7 5 4 15:17 26
8 Orsomarso W 16 5 7 4 18:14 22
9 Ind. Medellin W 16 6 1 9 21:22 19
10 Fortaleza W 16 4 5 7 14:23 17
11 Bucaramanga W 16 5 2 9 15:34 17
12 Llaneros W 16 3 4 9 11:33 13
13 Junior W 16 2 6 8 12:24 12
14 Real Santander W 16 1 7 8 4:22 10
15 Once Caldas W 16 1 5 10 7:25 8
16 Dep. Pasto W 16 1 4 11 12:28 7
Promotion - Liga Women (Promotion Group)