Sport Picks
Millwall U18 vs Chelsea U18
England
FA Youth Cup 2023/2024 
Match Events
66'
66'
Murray-Campbell H.
71'
71'
Howland J.
1'
1'
Howland J.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Millwall U18 in this FA Youth Cup 2023/2024 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
15%
49%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chelsea U18
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Chelsea U18 have won more games recently than Millwall U18.
- Model gives Chelsea U18 a 49% chance of winning this.
- Chelsea U18 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Millwall U18, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Millwall U18 Clean Sheet 12%
Chelsea U18 Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Millwall U18 | Chelsea U18 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 9 | 32 |
| Wins | 5 | 24 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 2.33 | 3.22 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 1.74 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 21, 2024 FA Youth Cup
Millwall U18 vs Chelsea U18
2:1
Feb 27, 2020 FA Youth Cup
Chelsea U18 vs Millwall U18
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Millwall U18 Compare
Top Goalscorer Howland J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58
Chelsea U18 Compare
Top Goalscorer Murray-Campbell H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Millwall U18 10 / 100
Chelsea U18 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Millwall U18 Chelsea U18
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chelsea U18 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Millwall U18 scored in 89% of their last 9 outings.
Defensive concern: Chelsea U18 conceded in 66% of 32 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Millwall U18 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Chelsea U18
0 Goals Scored 2.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Millwall U18
(Home) 16 Jan
Manchester City U18
5 : 1 Millwall U18
04 Apr
Leeds U18
4 : 3 Millwall U18
21 Feb
Millwall U18
2 : 1 Chelsea U18
02 Feb
Coventry U18
0 : 3 Millwall U18
24 Jan
Grimsby U18
1 : 4 Millwall U18
Page 1 of 2
21 Feb
Millwall U18
2 : 1 Chelsea U18
08 Jan
Millwall U18
3 : 1 Fleetwood Town U18
14 Jan
Millwall U18
2 : 3 Sheffield Utd U18
Chelsea U18
(Away) 19 Sept
Chelsea U18
5 : 0 Bournemouth U18
12 Sept
Brighton U18
1 : 5 Chelsea U18
05 Sept
Fulham U18
4 : 3 Chelsea U18
29 Aug
Chelsea U18
6 : 1 Reading U18
22 Aug
Birmingham U18
1 : 4 Chelsea U18
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Brighton U18
1 : 5 Chelsea U18
05 Sept
Fulham U18
4 : 3 Chelsea U18
22 Aug
Birmingham U18
1 : 4 Chelsea U18
02 May
Birmingham U18
0 : 4 Chelsea U18
18 Apr
Fulham U18
1 : 5 Chelsea U18
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
West Ham U18 0
Manchester City U18 2
Sheffield Wed U18 0
Reading U18 4
Burton U18 1
Tottenham U18 3
Newcastle Utd U18 0
Bournemouth U18 5
Bristol City U18 1
Charlton U18 0
QPR U18 0
Burnley U18 2
Gillingham U18 0
Sunderland U18 3
Swindon U18 2
Manchester United U18 0
Sheffield Utd U18 1
AFC Wimbledon U18 0
Brighton U18 0
Leeds U18 4
Liverpool U18 7
Arsenal U18 1
Swansea U18 0
Fulham U18 5
Coventry U18 4
Barnsley U18 2
Grimsby U18 1
Millwall U18 4
Hull U18 0
Crystal Palace U18 5
Everton U18 0
Chelsea U18 2
1/8-finals
Manchester City U18 2
Reading U18 1
Tottenham U18 6
Bournemouth U18 2
Bristol City U18 3
Burnley U18 0
Sunderland U18 1
Swindon U18 2
Sheffield Utd U18 1
Leeds U18 2
Liverpool U18 3
Fulham U18 0
Coventry U18 0
Millwall U18 3
Crystal Palace U18 1
Chelsea U18 2
Quarter-finals
Manchester City U18 2
Tottenham U18 1
Bristol City U18 1
Swindon U18 0
Leeds U18 3
Liverpool U18 1
Millwall U18 2
Chelsea U18 1
Semi-finals
Manchester City U18 1
Bristol City U18 0
Leeds U18 4
Millwall U18 3
Final
Manchester City U18 4
Leeds U18 0
