Sport Picks
Match Events
17'
17'
Grant K.
33'
33'
Luongo M.
46'
46'
Sub
Thomas B. In: Kitching L.
Out: Thomas B.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-1, with Millwall advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Coventry
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Coventry carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Coventry a 90% chance of winning this.
- Coventry arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Coventry, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Millwall Clean Sheet 18%
Coventry Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Millwall | Coventry |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 15 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 0.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.86 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.75 | 0.43 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 20, 2026 Championship
Coventry vs Millwall
2:1
Oct 1, 2025 Championship
Millwall vs Coventry
0:4
Aug 26, 2025 EFL Cup
Millwall vs Coventry
2:1
Dec 29, 2024 Championship
Coventry vs Millwall
0:0
Dec 7, 2024 Championship
Millwall vs Coventry
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Millwall Compare
Top Goalscorer Luongo M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Grant K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Coventry Compare
Avg xG / game 1.69
Avg xA / game 1.03
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Millwall 10 / 100
Coventry 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Millwall Coventry
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick COV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Millwall scored in 83% of their last 29 games.
Coventry let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Millwall has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Millwall VS Coventry
1.13 Goals Scored 1.86
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.43
75% Over 1.5 57%
25% Over 2.5 43%
13% Over 3.5 43%
Recent Form & Match History
Millwall
(Home) 28 Jul
Bromley
1 : 1 Millwall
25 Jul
Stevenage
1 : 0 Millwall
21 Jul
Gillingham
1 : 0 Millwall
17 Jul
Eldense
1 : 2 Millwall
14 Jul
FC Andorra
2 : 1 Millwall
Page 1 of 6
11 May
Millwall
0 : 2 Hull City
02 May
Millwall
2 : 0 Oxford Utd
18 Apr
Millwall
2 : 0 QPR
06 Apr
Millwall
1 : 2 Norwich
14 Mar
Millwall
1 : 2 Blackburn
Page 1 of 3
Coventry
(Away) 18 Jul
Northampton
0 : 0 Coventry
02 May
Watford
0 : 4 Coventry
26 Apr
Coventry
3 : 1 Wrexham
21 Apr
Coventry
5 : 1 Portsmouth
17 Apr
Blackburn
1 : 1 Coventry
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Northampton
0 : 0 Coventry
02 May
Watford
0 : 4 Coventry
17 Apr
Blackburn
1 : 1 Coventry
06 Apr
Hull City
0 : 0 Coventry
21 Mar
Swansea
0 : 3 Coventry
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Barrow0
Preston1
Wrexham4
Hull City3
Portsmouth1
Reading2
Gillingham1
AFC Wimbledon2
Burnley-
TBD-
West Brom1
Derby2
Cardiff2
Swindon1
Cheltenham2
Exeter0
Wolves-
TBD-
TBD-
West Ham-
Everton-
TBD-
Chesterfield0
Mansfield2
Tranmere1
Burton2
Harrogate1
Lincoln City3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Chelsea-
Birmingham2
Sheffield Utd1
Blackpool0
Port Vale1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Arsenal-
Barnsley3
Fleetwood Town2
Salford0
Rotherham1
Oxford Utd1
Colchester0
TBD-
Brighton-
Liverpool-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Watford1
Norwich2
Northampton0
Southampton1
Crystal Palace-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Newport0
Millwall1
Coventry1
Luton0
Newcastle Utd-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Stoke City1
Walsall0
Blackburn1
Bradford City2
Tottenham-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Accrington2
Peterborough1
Middlesbrough0
Doncaster4
Wigan1
Notts County0
Stockport County3
Crewe1
Bromley2
Ipswich1
Leyton Orient0
Wycombe1
Fulham-
TBD-
Bristol City2
Milton Keynes Dons0
Bristol Rovers0
Cambridge Utd2
Charlton3
Stevenage1
Swansea3
Crawley Town1
Plymouth3
QPR2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Nottingham-
Sunderland-
TBD-
Huddersfield3
Leicester2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Manchester City-
Bolton3
Sheffield Wed4
TBD-
Leeds-
Grimsby3
Shrewsbury1
TBD-
Manchester United-
Bournemouth-
TBD-
TBD-
Brentford-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Aston Villa-
1/32-finals
Preston2
Wrexham3
Reading2
AFC Wimbledon1
Burnley2
Derby1
Cardiff3
Cheltenham0
Wolves3
West Ham2
Everton2
Mansfield0
Burton0
Lincoln City1
TBD-
Chelsea-
Birmingham0
Port Vale1
TBD-
Arsenal-
Barnsley2
Rotherham1
Oxford Utd0
Brighton6
Liverpool-
TBD-
Norwich0
Southampton3
Crystal Palace-
TBD-
Millwall2
Coventry1
Newcastle Utd-
TBD-
Stoke City0
Bradford City3
Tottenham-
TBD-
Accrington0
Doncaster2
Wigan1
Stockport County0
Bromley1
Wycombe2
Fulham2
Bristol City0
Cambridge Utd3
Charlton1
Swansea2
Plymouth1
TBD-
Nottingham-
Sunderland1
Huddersfield2
TBD-
Manchester City-
Sheffield Wed2
Leeds1
Grimsby3
Manchester United2
Bournemouth0
Brentford2
TBD-
Aston Villa-
1/16-finals
Wrexham2
Reading0
Burnley1
Cardiff2
Wolves2
Everton0
Lincoln City1
Chelsea2
Port Vale0
Arsenal2
Barnsley0
Brighton6
Liverpool2
Southampton1
Crystal Palace2
Millwall1
Newcastle Utd4
Bradford City1
Tottenham3
Doncaster0
Wigan0
Wycombe2
Fulham1
Cambridge Utd0
Swansea3
Nottingham2
Huddersfield0
Manchester City2
Sheffield Wed0
Grimsby1
Brentford2
Aston Villa1
1/8-finals
Wrexham1
Cardiff2
Wolves3
Chelsea4
Arsenal2
Brighton0
Liverpool0
Crystal Palace3
Newcastle Utd2
Tottenham0
Wycombe1
Fulham2
Swansea1
Manchester City3
Grimsby0
Brentford5
Quarter-finals
Cardiff1
Chelsea3
Arsenal2
Crystal Palace1
Newcastle Utd2
Fulham1
Manchester City2
Brentford0
Semi-finals
Chelsea2
Arsenal4
Newcastle Utd1
Manchester City5
Final
Arsenal0
Manchester City2
