Sport Picks
Match Events
17'
17'
Grant K.
33'
33'
Luongo M.
46'
46'
Sub
Thomas B. In: Kitching L.
Out: Thomas B.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-1, with Millwall advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
20%
30%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Millwall
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- Coventry carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Millwall a 50% chance of winning this.
- Coventry arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Coventry, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Millwall Clean Sheet 19%
Coventry Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Millwall | Coventry |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 17 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 11 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.32 | 1.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.16 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 20, 2026 Championship
Coventry vs Millwall
2:1
Oct 1, 2025 Championship
Millwall vs Coventry
0:4
Aug 26, 2025 EFL Cup
Millwall vs Coventry
2:1
Dec 29, 2024 Championship
Coventry vs Millwall
0:0
Dec 7, 2024 Championship
Millwall vs Coventry
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Millwall Compare
Top Goalscorer Luongo M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Grant K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Coventry Compare
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Millwall 58 / 100
Coventry 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Millwall Coventry
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Millwall Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Millwall scored in 77% of their last 31 games.
Coventry let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Millwall has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Millwall VS Coventry
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Millwall
(Home) 19 Sept
Millwall
2 : 2 West Ham
15 Sept
Middlesbrough
2 : 2 Millwall
12 Sept
Blackburn
3 : 1 Millwall
08 Sept
Millwall
0 : 1 Newcastle Utd
05 Sept
Millwall
4 : 0 Bolton
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Millwall
2 : 2 West Ham
08 Sept
Millwall
0 : 1 Newcastle Utd
05 Sept
Millwall
4 : 0 Bolton
02 Sept
Millwall
0 : 3 Wrexham
22 Aug
Millwall
3 : 0 Norwich
Page 1 of 3
Coventry
(Away) 19 Sept
Nottingham
0 : 1 Coventry
16 Sept
Coventry
1 : 3 Aston Villa
13 Sept
Coventry
0 : 5 Brighton
05 Sept
Manchester City
1 : 0 Coventry
29 Aug
Coventry
0 : 1 Hull City
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Nottingham
0 : 1 Coventry
05 Sept
Manchester City
1 : 0 Coventry
25 Aug
Plymouth
2 : 4 Coventry
21 Aug
Arsenal
3 : 0 Coventry
18 Jul
Northampton
0 : 0 Coventry
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Barrow 0
Preston 1
Wrexham 4
Hull City 3
Portsmouth 1
Reading 2
Gillingham 1
AFC Wimbledon 2
Burnley -
TBD -
West Brom 1
Derby 2
Cardiff 2
Swindon 1
Cheltenham 2
Exeter 0
Wolves -
TBD -
TBD -
West Ham -
Everton -
TBD -
Chesterfield 0
Mansfield 2
Tranmere 1
Burton 2
Harrogate 1
Lincoln City 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chelsea -
Birmingham 2
Sheffield Utd 1
Blackpool 0
Port Vale 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal -
Barnsley 3
Fleetwood Town 2
Salford 0
Rotherham 1
Oxford Utd 1
Colchester 0
TBD -
Brighton -
Liverpool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Watford 1
Norwich 2
Northampton 0
Southampton 1
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Newport 0
Millwall 1
Coventry 1
Luton 0
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stoke City 1
Walsall 0
Blackburn 1
Bradford City 2
Tottenham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Accrington 2
Peterborough 1
Middlesbrough 0
Doncaster 4
Wigan 1
Notts County 0
Stockport County 3
Crewe 1
Bromley 2
Ipswich 1
Leyton Orient 0
Wycombe 1
Fulham -
TBD -
Bristol City 2
Milton Keynes Dons 0
Bristol Rovers 0
Cambridge Utd 2
Charlton 3
Stevenage 1
Swansea 3
Crawley Town 1
Plymouth 3
QPR 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nottingham -
Sunderland -
TBD -
Huddersfield 3
Leicester 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Manchester City -
Bolton 3
Sheffield Wed 4
TBD -
Leeds -
Grimsby 3
Shrewsbury 1
TBD -
Manchester United -
Bournemouth -
TBD -
TBD -
Brentford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/32-finals
Preston 2
Wrexham 3
Reading 2
AFC Wimbledon 1
Burnley 2
Derby 1
Cardiff 3
Cheltenham 0
Wolves 3
West Ham 2
Everton 2
Mansfield 0
Burton 0
Lincoln City 1
TBD -
Chelsea -
Birmingham 0
Port Vale 1
TBD -
Arsenal -
Barnsley 2
Rotherham 1
Oxford Utd 0
Brighton 6
Liverpool -
TBD -
Norwich 0
Southampton 3
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
Millwall 2
Coventry 1
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
Stoke City 0
Bradford City 3
Tottenham -
TBD -
Accrington 0
Doncaster 2
Wigan 1
Stockport County 0
Bromley 1
Wycombe 2
Fulham 2
Bristol City 0
Cambridge Utd 3
Charlton 1
Swansea 2
Plymouth 1
TBD -
Nottingham -
Sunderland 1
Huddersfield 2
TBD -
Manchester City -
Sheffield Wed 2
Leeds 1
Grimsby 3
Manchester United 2
Bournemouth 0
Brentford 2
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/16-finals
Wrexham 2
Reading 0
Burnley 1
Cardiff 2
Wolves 2
Everton 0
Lincoln City 1
Chelsea 2
Port Vale 0
Arsenal 2
Barnsley 0
Brighton 6
Liverpool 2
Southampton 1
Crystal Palace 2
Millwall 1
Newcastle Utd 4
Bradford City 1
Tottenham 3
Doncaster 0
Wigan 0
Wycombe 2
Fulham 1
Cambridge Utd 0
Swansea 3
Nottingham 2
Huddersfield 0
Manchester City 2
Sheffield Wed 0
Grimsby 1
Brentford 2
Aston Villa 1
1/8-finals
Wrexham 1
Cardiff 2
Wolves 3
Chelsea 4
Arsenal 2
Brighton 0
Liverpool 0
Crystal Palace 3
Newcastle Utd 2
Tottenham 0
Wycombe 1
Fulham 2
Swansea 1
Manchester City 3
Grimsby 0
Brentford 5
Quarter-finals
Cardiff 1
Chelsea 3
Arsenal 2
Crystal Palace 1
Newcastle Utd 2
Fulham 1
Manchester City 2
Brentford 0
Semi-finals
Chelsea 2
Arsenal 4
Newcastle Utd 1
Manchester City 5
Final
Arsenal 0
Manchester City 2
