Sport Picks

England

EFL Cup The Den, London

Millwall

0 - 1

Newcastle Utd

Our Tip

Match Events

46'

Sub

Dedic A. In: Livramento V.

Out: Dedic A.

62'

Sub

Esse R. In: Issoufou Y.

Out: Esse R.

62'

Sub

Lovelace Z. In: Arconte T.

Out: Lovelace Z.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%

Millwall

20%

Draws

52%

Newcastle Utd

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Newcastle Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence

Millwall have won more games recently than Newcastle Utd.
Model gives Newcastle Utd a 52% chance of winning this.
Millwall have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Newcastle Utd, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%

Millwall Clean Sheet 16%

Newcastle Utd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Millwall	Newcastle Utd
Matches Played	29	32
Wins	14	13
Draws	5	5
Losses	10	14
Goals Scored	1.31	1.78
Goals Conceded	1	1.81
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2026 EFL Cup

Millwall vs Newcastle Utd

0:1

Apr 17, 1993 Championship

Millwall vs Newcastle Utd

1:2

Dec 20, 1992 Championship

Newcastle Utd vs Millwall

1:1

Apr 18, 1992 Championship

Newcastle Utd vs Millwall

0:1

Sep 21, 1991 Championship

Millwall vs Newcastle Utd

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Millwall Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

Newcastle Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Willock J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.31

Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Millwall 15 / 100

Newcastle Utd 65 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Millwall Newcastle Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Newcastle Utd Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newcastle Utd's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 32 matches.

Millwall found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Millwall has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Millwall VS Newcastle Utd

1.75 Goals Scored 1.75

1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75

75% Over 1.5 100%

63% Over 2.5 88%

25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Millwall

(Home)

08 Sept

Millwall

0 : 1

Newcastle Utd

05 Sept

Millwall

4 : 0

Bolton

02 Sept

Millwall

0 : 3

Wrexham

29 Aug

Southampton

5 : 1

Millwall

25 Aug

Cambridge Utd

0 : 1

Millwall

Page 1 of 6

Newcastle Utd

(Away)

08 Sept

Millwall

0 : 1

Newcastle Utd

05 Sept

Newcastle Utd

2 : 2

Bournemouth

29 Aug

Tottenham

0 : 2

Newcastle Utd

26 Aug

Newcastle Utd

3 : 2

West Brom

23 Aug

Newcastle Utd

2 : 2

Liverpool

Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/64-finals

Crystal Palace -

TBD -

Stockport County 1

Doncaster 2

Middlesbrough 1

Wrexham 0

Manchester United -

TBD -

Brighton -

Manchester City -

TBD -

Cardiff 3

Swindon 2

Norwich 4

Milton Keynes Dons 1

Sunderland -

TBD -

Stoke City 2

Oldham 0

TBD -

Hull City -

Plymouth 2

Exeter 0

TBD -

Coventry -

TBD -

Aston Villa -

Chelsea -

TBD -

Gillingham 0

Luton 3

Nottingham -

TBD -

Leeds -

Ipswich -

TBD -

Leicester 1

Northampton 0

TBD -

Arsenal -

Colchester 0

Southampton 2

West Ham 3

Portsmouth 1

Fulham -

TBD -

AFC Wimbledon 2

Newport 1

Bournemouth -

TBD -

Grimsby 1

Blackpool 3

Derby 1

Lincoln City 2

Liverpool -

TBD -

Tottenham -

TBD -

Cheltenham 1

Charlton 3

Cambridge Utd 2

Barnet 1

QPR 1

Millwall 2

Newcastle Utd -

TBD -

Rotherham 1

West Brom 4

Fleetwood Town 1

Chesterfield 0

Salford 1

Shrewsbury 2

Burton 1

Blackburn 2

Mansfield 0

Sheffield Utd 3

Preston 2

Huddersfield 1

TBD -

Everton -

Sheffield Wed 1

Bolton 0

Wolves 3

Port Vale 0

Bristol City 0

Walsall 1

Leyton Orient 2

Oxford Utd 0

Bradford City 2

Rochdale 0

Burnley 2

Notts County 1

Wycombe 1

Stevenage 2

Bromley 1

Reading 2

Swansea 0

Birmingham 1

TBD -

Brentford -

Watford 1

Crawley Town 0

Bristol Rovers 0

Peterborough 1

Barnsley 2

Wigan 1

Crewe 2

Accrington 1

1/32-finals

Crystal Palace -

TBD -

Doncaster 1

Middlesbrough 3

Manchester United -

TBD -

Brighton -

Manchester City -

TBD -

Cardiff 1

Norwich 2

Sunderland -

TBD -

Stoke City 1

Hull City 2

Plymouth 2

Coventry 4

TBD -

Aston Villa -

Chelsea 2

Luton 0

Nottingham 0

Leeds 2

Ipswich 3

Leicester 1

TBD -

Arsenal -

Southampton 1

West Ham 4

Fulham 3

AFC Wimbledon 0

Bournemouth -

TBD -

Blackpool 1

Lincoln City 4

Liverpool -

TBD -

Tottenham 5

Charlton 1

Cambridge Utd 0

Millwall 1

Newcastle Utd 3

West Brom 2

Fleetwood Town 4

Shrewsbury 0

Blackburn 1

Sheffield Utd 2

Preston 0

Everton 4

Sheffield Wed 0

Wolves 2

Walsall 0

Leyton Orient 1

Bradford City 1

Burnley 0

Stevenage 0

Reading 3

Birmingham 1

Brentford 6

Watford 1

Peterborough 5

Barnsley 3

Crewe 2

1/16-finals

Crystal Palace 3

Middlesbrough 0

Manchester United -

Brighton -

Manchester City -

Norwich -

Sunderland 1

Hull City 0

Coventry -

Aston Villa -

Chelsea -

Leeds -

Ipswich -

Arsenal -

West Ham -

Fulham -

Bournemouth 4

Lincoln City 0

Liverpool -

Tottenham -

Millwall 0

Newcastle Utd 1

Fleetwood Town -

Sheffield Utd -

Everton -

Wolves -

Leyton Orient 1

Bradford City 3

Reading -

Brentford -

Peterborough -

Barnsley -

1/8-finals

TBD -

Quarter-finals

TBD -

Semi-finals

TBD -

Final

TBD -

Millwall vs Newcastle Utd

England

Millwall

Newcastle Utd

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Millwall Compare

Newcastle Utd Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Millwall

Newcastle Utd

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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