Sport Picks
Match Events
24'
24'
Cordoba J.
46'
46'
Sub
Kvistgaarden M. In: Toure M.
Out: Kvistgaarden M.
46'
46'
Sub
Cundle L. In: Ivanovic M.
Out: Cundle L.
AI Match Summary
The Championship 2025/2026 game between Millwall and Norwich finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Norwich.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
30%
37%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Norwich
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Norwich carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Millwall Clean Sheet 19%
Norwich Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Millwall | Norwich |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 31 |
| Wins | 16 | 18 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 9 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 1.61 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 0.84 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.51 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 6, 2026 Championship
Millwall vs Norwich
1:2
Aug 9, 2025 Championship
Norwich vs Millwall
1:2
Apr 21, 2025 Championship
Millwall vs Norwich
3:1
Dec 26, 2024 Championship
Norwich vs Millwall
2:1
Dec 29, 2023 Championship
Millwall vs Norwich
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Millwall Compare
Top Goalscorer Ivanovic M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.39
Avg xA / game 0.26
Norwich Compare
Top Goalscorer Mattsson P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Schwartau O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Millwall 36 / 100
Norwich 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Millwall Norwich
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Norwich Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Millwall found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Millwall went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Norwich has conceded goals in 58% of their last 31 outings.
Scoring Trends
Millwall VS Norwich
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Millwall
(Home) 08 Aug
QPR
1 : 2 Millwall
01 Aug
Millwall
1 : 0 Antwerp
28 Jul
Bromley
1 : 1 Millwall
25 Jul
Stevenage
1 : 0 Millwall
21 Jul
Gillingham
1 : 0 Millwall
Page 1 of 7
01 Aug
Millwall
1 : 0 Antwerp
11 May
Millwall
0 : 2 Hull City
02 May
Millwall
2 : 0 Oxford Utd
18 Apr
Millwall
2 : 0 QPR
06 Apr
Millwall
1 : 2 Norwich
Page 1 of 3
Norwich
(Away) 08 Aug
Norwich
4 : 1 Milton Keynes Dons
04 Aug
Norwich
0 : 0 Cambridge Utd
01 Aug
Norwich
1 : 2 Osasuna
25 Jul
Fulham
0 : 2 Norwich
22 Jul
AFC Wimbledon
0 : 0 Norwich
Page 1 of 7
25 Jul
Fulham
0 : 2 Norwich
22 Jul
AFC Wimbledon
0 : 0 Norwich
17 Jul
St. Gallen
0 : 3 Norwich
02 May
Hull City
2 : 1 Norwich
18 Apr
Bristol City
2 : 4 Norwich
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 97:45 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich | 46 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 80:47 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall | 46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 64:49 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 82:56 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 72:47 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 70:66 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69:65 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 67:59 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich | 46 | 19 | 8 | 19 | 63:56 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 57:56 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 57:59 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 59:59 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield Utd | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 66:66 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 55:62 | 60 |
| 15 | QPR | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 61:73 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 53:65 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 51:56 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 49:64 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 44:58 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 42:56 | 52 |
| 21 | West Brom | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 48:58 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford Utd | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 45:59 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 58:68 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 46 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 29:89 | 0 |
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One (Main)
