Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Milsami vs FCM Ungheni - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Moldova Moldova

Moldovan Cup
Tue, Oct 27, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 5-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. FCM Ungheni have shipped 1.73 goals a game lately, while Milsami have conceded 1.32 and scored 1.03. Head-to-head, Milsami have won 1 to FCM Ungheni's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Oct 27, 2021, ending 5:1. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 2.38, favoring FCM Ungheni. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Milsami
35%
Draws
32%
FCM Ungheni
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • FCM Ungheni have won more games recently than Milsami.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • FCM Ungheni arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Milsami, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Milsami Clean Sheet 10%
FCM Ungheni Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Milsami FCM Ungheni
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 17
Draws 11 4
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.03 2.7
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 27, 2021 Moldovan Cup
Milsami vs FCM Ungheni
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Milsami 29 / 100
FCM Ungheni 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Milsami FCM Ungheni

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Milsami Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FCM Ungheni let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Milsami stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Milsami scored in 52% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Milsami VS FCM Ungheni
1.5 Goals Scored 3.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Milsami

(Home)
18 Oct
Milsami
1 : 1
Zimbru Chisinau
11 Oct
Milsami
3 : 3
Politehnica UTM
20 Sept
Real Sireti
1 : 2
Milsami
13 Sept
Milsami
0 : 1
Sheriff Tiraspol
06 Sept
CSF Balti
1 : 3
Milsami
Page 1 of 7

FCM Ungheni

(Away)
16 Oct
Iskra Ribnita
2 : 2
FCM Ungheni
09 Oct
FCM Ungheni
1 : 2
Zimbru Chisinau 2
18 Sept
Univer Comrat
1 : 1
FCM Ungheni
12 Sept
FCM Ungheni
5 : 2
Sparta Selemet
05 Sept
Vulturii Cutezatori
3 : 4
FCM Ungheni
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
CSF Balti -
TBD -
Iskra Ribnita 4
Tarigrad 1
Politehnica UTM -
TBD -
Stauceni 1
FC Chisinau 2
Milsami -
TBD -
FCM Ungheni 9
Olimp Comrat 0
Sheriff Tiraspol -
TBD -
National Ialoveni 1
FC Congaz 2
Petrocub Hincesti -
TBD -
Floresti 0
Edinet 3
Zimbru Chisinau -
TBD -
Oguzsport 2
Vulturii Cutezatori 1
Dacia Buiucani -
TBD -
Sparta Selemet 0
Univer Comrat 3
Real Sireti -
TBD -
Victoria 5
Falesti 3
1/8-finals
CSF Balti -
Iskra Ribnita -
Politehnica UTM -
FC Chisinau -
Milsami -
FCM Ungheni -
Sheriff Tiraspol -
FC Congaz -
Petrocub Hincesti -
Edinet -
Zimbru Chisinau -
Oguzsport -
Dacia Buiucani -
Univer Comrat -
Real Sireti -
Victoria -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -