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Milsami vs Velez Mostar

Europe Europe

Conference League Complexul Sportiv Raional
Our Tip

Match Events

39'
Mesic A.
40'
Asmelash H.
43'
Decio Neto

AI Match Summary

The Conference League game between Milsami and Velez Mostar finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Velez Mostar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Milsami
28%
Draws
50%
Velez Mostar
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Velez Mostar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Velez Mostar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Velez Mostar's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Milsami Clean Sheet 16%
Velez Mostar Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Milsami Velez Mostar
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 15
Draws 7 7
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 0.25 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2026 Conference League
Milsami vs Velez Mostar
0:1
Jul 9, 2026 Conference League
Velez Mostar vs Milsami
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Milsami Compare

Avg xG / game 0.19
Avg xA / game 0.13

Velez Mostar Compare

Top Goalscorer Mesic A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Milsami 23 / 100
Velez Mostar 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Milsami Velez Mostar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VEL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Velez Mostar has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Milsami scored in 48% of their last 29 games.

Milsami has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Milsami VS Velez Mostar
0.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Rijeka-
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Derry City-
Lugano-
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Dukagjini-
FCSB-
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FK Auda Riga-
Rakow Czestochowa-
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Valletta-
Debrecen-
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Marsaxlokk0
Pyunik Yerevan4
IFK Goteborg-
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Caernarfon0
Levadia10
Varazdin-
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Jablonec-
Bravo-
TBD-
Europa FC0
Shkendija Tetovo6
Shelbourne-
TBD-
Kalju3
Linfield2
Zimbru Chisinau-
TBD-
TBD-
Noah-
Aluminij-
TBD-
Dinamo Tirana4
FC Astana2
AF Elbasani1
BATE2
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Sion-
Motherwell-
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HB Torshavn-
Vllaznia2
Malisheva6
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Hibernian-
Paks-
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Panathinaikos-
Vojvodina-
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Ajax-
LNZ Cherkasy-
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Gent-
Hapoel Tel Aviv-
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Ludogorets-
Bohemians2
St Josephs0
Connahs Q.2
FC Ballkani3
Vaduz-
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Mornar Bar2
Atletic Escaldes4
NSI Runavik3
Hamrun2
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Koper-
Partizan-
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UNA Strassen3
La Fiorita0
Basaksehir-
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FK Sarajevo2
Inter Turku3
HJK-
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Coleraine-
Glentoran1
RFS4
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Vestri-
Decic1
FK Liepaja3
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Austria Vienna-
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Nordsjaelland-
Zilina-
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GKS Katowice-
Dila Gori3
Virtus2
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Apollon Limassol-
Universitatea Cluj-
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Brann-
Valur-
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Zrinjski-
Mondorf2
Dinamo Tbilisi3
Petrovac2
Zalgiris5
Dun. Streda-
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Velez Mostar2
Milsami1
Vikingur3
Stjarnan5
Differdange1
Ilves3
FK Panevezys-
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Tobol-
Neftci Baku-
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Din. Minsk2
Sileks1
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Braga-
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FC Copenhagen-
Penybont0
FC Santa Coloma4
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Rapid Vienna-
Alashkert4
Yelimay Semey3
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CFR Cluj-
FC Hegelmann1
Paide Linnameeskond4
Zira FK6
Torpedo Kutaisi0
Spartak Trnava-
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Beitar Jerusalem-
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Quarter-finals
Rijeka-
Derry City-
Lugano-
Dukagjini-
FCSB-
FK Auda Riga-
Rakow Czestochowa-
Valletta-
Debrecen-
Pyunik Yerevan-
IFK Goteborg-
Levadia-
Varazdin-
Jablonec-
Bravo-
Shkendija Tetovo-
Shelbourne-
Kalju-
Zimbru Chisinau-
Noah-
Aluminij-
Dinamo Tirana-
BATE-
Sion-
Motherwell-
HB Torshavn-
Malisheva-
Hibernian-
Paks-
Panathinaikos-
Vojvodina-
Ajax-
LNZ Cherkasy-
Gent-
Hapoel Tel Aviv-
Ludogorets-
Bohemians-
FC Ballkani-
Vaduz-
Atletic Escaldes-
NSI Runavik-
Koper-
Partizan-
UNA Strassen-
Basaksehir-
Inter Turku-
HJK-
Coleraine-
RFS-
Vestri-
FK Liepaja-
Austria Vienna-
GAIS-
Nordsjaelland-
Zilina-
GKS Katowice-
Dila Gori-
Apollon Limassol-
Universitatea Cluj-
Brann-
Valur-
Zrinjski-
Dinamo Tbilisi-
Zalgiris-
Dun. Streda-
Velez Mostar-
Stjarnan-
Ilves-
FK Panevezys-
Tobol-
Neftci Baku-
Din. Minsk-
Zeleznicar Pancevo-
Braga-
Polissya Zhytomyr-
FC Copenhagen-
FC Santa Coloma-
Rapid Vienna-
Alashkert-
CFR Cluj-
Paide Linnameeskond-
Zira FK-
Spartak Trnava-
CSKA 1948 Sofia-
AEK Larnaca-
Beitar Jerusalem-
Borac Banja Luka-
Petrocub Hincesti-
Bissen-
Gyor-
ML Vitebsk-
Sutjeska-
Flora-
TNS-
Floriana-
Drita-
Vardar-
Riga FC-
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