Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Minas Boca U20 vs Sao Joao del Rei U20

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro U20
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Pablo Pereira Farias L.
14' Event
Candido Rosa Junior E.
(Penalty)
31' Event
Candido Rosa Junior E.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro U20 game between Minas Boca U20 and Sao Joao del Rei U20 finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sao Joao del Rei U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Minas Boca U20
17%
Draws
70%
Sao Joao del Rei U20
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Sao Joao del Rei U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Minas Boca U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Sao Joao del Rei U20 a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Mineiro U20 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Minas Boca U20 Clean Sheet 14%
Sao Joao del Rei U20 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Minas Boca U20 Sao Joao del Rei U20
Matches Played 25 12
Wins 3 2
Draws 6 7
Losses 16 3
Goals Scored 0.75 0.88
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Mineiro U20
Minas Boca U20 vs Sao Joao del Rei U20
0:0
Jun 13, 2026 Mineiro U20
Minas Boca U20 vs Sao Joao del Rei U20
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Minas Boca U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pablo Pereira Farias L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dantas M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Sao Joao del Rei U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Vinicius M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Conceicao J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Minas Boca U20 15 / 100
Sao Joao del Rei U20 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Minas Boca U20 Sao Joao del Rei U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sao Joao del Rei U20 conceded in 83% of 12 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Minas Boca U20's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 25 recent games.

Minas Boca U20 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Minas Boca U20 VS Sao Joao del Rei U20
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Minas Boca U20

(Home)
11 Jul
Minas Boca U20
0 : 0
Sao Joao del Rei U20
27 Jun
Nacional de Muriae U20
4 : 1
Minas Boca U20
13 Jun
Minas Boca U20
2 : 4
Sao Joao del Rei U20
05 Jun
Coimbra Sports U20
2 : 1
Minas Boca U20
23 May
Minas Boca U20
2 : 2
Betim FC U20
Page 1 of 5

Sao Joao del Rei U20

(Away)
19 Jul
Sao Joao del Rei U20
1 : 0
Inter de Minas U20
11 Jul
Minas Boca U20
0 : 0
Sao Joao del Rei U20
27 Jun
Sao Joao del Rei U20
0 : 1
Inter de Minas U20
13 Jun
Minas Boca U20
2 : 4
Sao Joao del Rei U20
07 Jun
Sao Joao del Rei U20
1 : 1
Betim FC U20
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico-MG U201080235:724
2Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U201071221:1322
3Athletic Club U201061320:1119
4Nacional de Muriae U201054116:1019
5Itabirito U201052312:1317
6America MG U201051423:1316
7Betim FC U201043314:1815
8Coimbra Sports U20104247:714
9Boston City U201042412:1614
10Social U201033415:1712
11Inter de Minas U201033410:1512
12Sao Joao del Rei U201016311:139
13Villa Real U20101454:147
14Minas Boca U20101368:266
15Uberabinha U20100195:201
Promotion - Mineiro U20 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Mineiro U20 (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U201071221:1322
2Itabirito U201052312:1317
3Coimbra Sports U20104247:714
4Social U201033415:1712
5Sao Joao del Rei U201016311:139
Promotion - Mineiro U20 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Mineiro U20 (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Athletic Club U201061320:1119
2America MG U201051423:1316
3Villa Real U20101454:147
4Minas Boca U20101368:266
5Uberabinha U20100195:201
Promotion - Mineiro U20 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Mineiro U20 (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico-MG U201080235:724
2Nacional de Muriae U201054116:1019
3Betim FC U201043314:1815
4Boston City U201042412:1614
5Inter de Minas U201033410:1512
Promotion - Mineiro U20 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Mineiro U20 (Losers stage)