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Minas Brasilia W vs Ceilandia W

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Brasiliense Women
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AI Match Summary

The Brasiliense Women game between Minas Brasilia W and Ceilandia W finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Minas Brasilia W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Minas Brasilia W
6%
Draws
4%
Ceilandia W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Minas Brasilia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Minas Brasilia W come out ahead of Ceilandia W on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Minas Brasilia W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Minas Brasilia W have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Minas Brasilia W Clean Sheet 20%
Ceilandia W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Minas Brasilia W Ceilandia W
Matches Played 34 8
Wins 21 3
Draws 6 1
Losses 7 4
Goals Scored 3.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.75 3.25
Expected Goals (xG) 3.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 3.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2025 Brasiliense Women
Minas Brasilia W vs Ceilandia W
6:1
Oct 2, 2025 Brasiliense Women
Ceilandia W vs Minas Brasilia W
1:6
Aug 30, 2025 Brasiliense Women
Minas Brasilia W vs Ceilandia W
5:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Minas Brasilia W 85 / 100
Ceilandia W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Minas Brasilia W Ceilandia W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MIN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 6.67 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Minas Brasilia W scored in 79% of their last 34 outings.

Ceilandia W let in goals in 63% of their last 8 matches.

Recent resilience: Minas Brasilia W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Minas Brasilia W VS Ceilandia W
3.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 3.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Minas Brasilia W651031:316
2Real Brasilia W650125:415
3Cresspom W632116:711
4Ceilandia W631215:810
5Cruzeiro DF W62049:166
6Legiao W61054:263
7Luziania W60061:370