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Minas Brasilia W vs Cresspom W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense Women
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 1-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Minas Brasilia W have averaged 3 scored and 0.71 conceded recently, against Cresspom W's 1.86 scored and 1.76 conceded. Past meetings favor Minas Brasilia W slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 3, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.19 - 2.38) back Minas Brasilia W to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Minas Brasilia W
30%
Draws
33%
Cresspom W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Minas Brasilia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Minas Brasilia W lately — more wins on the board than Cresspom W.
  • Model gives Minas Brasilia W a 37% chance of winning this.
  • Minas Brasilia W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Minas Brasilia W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Minas Brasilia W Clean Sheet 10%
Cresspom W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Minas Brasilia W Cresspom W
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 22 9
Draws 6 5
Losses 3 15
Goals Scored 3 1.86
Goals Conceded 0.71 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Brasiliense Women
Cresspom W vs Minas Brasilia W
1:1
Aug 22, 2025 Brasiliense Women
Cresspom W vs Minas Brasilia W
2:2
Sep 8, 2024 Brasiliense Women
Minas Brasilia W vs Cresspom W
2:0
Aug 10, 2024 Brasiliense Women
Cresspom W vs Minas Brasilia W
0:2
Aug 26, 2023 Brasiliense Women
Minas Brasilia W vs Cresspom W
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Minas Brasilia W 83 / 100
Cresspom W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Minas Brasilia W Cresspom W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Minas Brasilia W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Minas Brasilia W's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Cresspom W conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Minas Brasilia W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Minas Brasilia W VS Cresspom W
2.13 Goals Scored 4.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Minas Brasilia W

(Home)
03 Oct
Cresspom W
1 : 1
Minas Brasilia W
26 Sept
Minas Brasilia W
6 : 0
Ceilandia W
19 Sept
Legiao W
0 : 18
Minas Brasilia W
06 Sept
Itabirito W
4 : 1
Minas Brasilia W
30 Aug
Minas Brasilia W
1 : 1
Itabirito W
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Cresspom W

(Away)
03 Oct
Cresspom W
1 : 1
Minas Brasilia W
26 Sept
Cresspom W
11 : 0
Legiao W
19 Sept
Ceilandia W
0 : 5
Cresspom W
02 May
Cresspom W
0 : 2
Pantanal W
29 Apr
Cresspom W
0 : 1
Juventude W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Minas Brasilia W -
Cresspom W -